Numancia v CF Talavera

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Numancia win at 42%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Numancia was 42% before kick-off and our model makes it 42% now. 0–0 · 42–31–26
3. 1′KICK-OFF Numancia v CF Talavera
4. 34′THE CALL SWINGS · 34' Draw is now our likeliest result at 41% (was Numancia win 36%)
5. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Numancia win: 42% at kick-off, 32% now
6. 45′HALF-TIME Numancia 0–0 CF Talavera
7. 46′SECOND HALF Numancia 0–0 CF Talavera
8. 50′We said Numancia at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 30%. 0–0 · 30–49–21
9. 52′We said Numancia at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–50–20
10. 63′We said Numancia at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–59–17
11. 67′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 67' Numancia win: 42% at kick-off, 22% now
12. 70′We said Numancia at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 19–67–14
13. 77′We said Numancia at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 14–76–10
14. 79′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 79' Numancia win: 42% at kick-off, 12% now
15. 82′We said Numancia at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 9–84–7
16. 89′We said Numancia at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 4–92–3
17. FTFULL TIME Numancia 0–0 CF Talavera
18. FTNumancia 0–0 CF Talavera · Numancia win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.