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Getafe II v Albacete II
Getafe II
Albacete IISegunda División RFEF - Group 5 · SUN 18 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Getafe II win at 64%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Getafe II 64% before kick-off, 64% now. 0–0 · 64–21–15
- 1′KICK-OFF Getafe II v Albacete II
- 12′Albacete II score on 11′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 37–25–39
- 12′We said Getafe II at 64%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 37%. 0–1 · 37–25–39
- 12′⚽ GOAL · 11' Getafe II 0–1 Albacete II
- 12′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 12' Getafe II win: 64% at kick-off, 37% now
- 15′THE CALL SWINGS · 15' Albacete II win is now our likeliest result at 40% (was Getafe II win 35%)
- 16′Getafe II find the net on 15′. 1–1. 1–1 · 60–24–16
- 16′⚽ GOAL · 15' Getafe II 1–1 Albacete II
- 16′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 16' Getafe II win: 64% at kick-off, 60% now
- 16′THE CALL SWINGS · 16' Getafe II win is now our likeliest result at 60% (was Albacete II win 16%)
- 19′Getafe II level it on 16′ through Joselu. 1–1. 1–1 · 59–25–16
- 35′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 35' Getafe II win: 64% at kick-off, 54% now
- 40′We said Getafe II at 64%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 52%. 1–1 · 52–32–16
- 45′A goal for Albacete II on 44′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 21–29–50
- 45′We said Getafe II at 64%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 21%. 1–2 · 21–29–50
- 45′⚽ GOAL · 44' Getafe II 1–2 Albacete II
- 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Getafe II win: 64% at kick-off, 21% now
- 45′THE CALL SWINGS · 45' Albacete II win is now our likeliest result at 50% (was Getafe II win 21%)
- 45′HALF-TIME Getafe II 1–2 Albacete II
- 46′SECOND HALF Getafe II 1–2 Albacete II
- 48′We said Getafe II at 64%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–2 · 19–29–52
- 57′We said Getafe II at 64%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 1–2 · 14–29–57
- 57′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 57' Getafe II win: 64% at kick-off, 14% now
- 66′We said Getafe II at 64%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–2 · 9–27–64
- 75′We said Getafe II at 64%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–2 · 4–22–74
- 75′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 75' Getafe II win: 64% at kick-off, 4% now
- 77′The goal count is tracking the 3.1 we expected. 1–2 · 3–20–76
- 86′Getafe II score on 86′ to make it 2–2. 2–2 · 11–85–4
- 86′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.1 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 11–85–4
- 86′⚽ GOAL · 86' Getafe II 2–2 Albacete II
- 86′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 86' Getafe II win: 64% at kick-off, 11% now
- 86′THE CALL SWINGS · 86' Draw is now our likeliest result at 85% (was Albacete II win 4%)
- 93′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+3' Getafe II win: 64% at kick-off, 3% now
- FTFULL TIME Getafe II 2–2 Albacete II
- FTGetafe II 2–2 Albacete II · Getafe II win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 2–0 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Getafe II are clear favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Getafe II 64%, draw 21%, Albacete II 15%. Over 2.5 goals 59%, both teams to score 53%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Getafe II win64%
Albacete II win15%Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 10:30
RoundGroup 5 · matchday 7
Match timeline
All events
Getafe IIMIN
Albacete IIEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Getafe II
Albacete II
Last match: 11 Oct · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Last match: 11 Oct · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Getafe II a 64% chance to win. The market has them at 51%. We are 13 points more confident than the market. The model expects 2.1–0.9.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 51% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Getafe II win | 64% | 51% | +13 |
| Draw | 21% | 26% | −5 |
| Albacete II win | 15% | 22% | −7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% | 52% | +7 |
| Both teams to score | 53% | 54% | −1 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% | 75% | +6 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 37% | 32% | +5 |
| Getafe II or draw | 85% | 78% | +7 |
| Getafe II clean sheet | 40% | – | – |
| Albacete II clean sheet | 13% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2021/22No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 this season · since 6 Sept
GETAFE II
ALBACETE II
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A Madrid III | 7 | +3 | 14 |
| 2 | Conquense | 6 | +7 | 13 |
| 3 | Numancia | 6 | +5 | 12 |
| 4 | Salamanca UDS | 6 | +3 | 12 |
| 5 | CF Talavera | 6 | +3 | 11 |
| 6 | Real Valladolid II | 6 | +7 | 10 |
| 7 | SS Reyes | 6 | +3 | 10 |
| 8 | Gimnástica Segoviana | 7 | +1 | 9 |
| 9 | Guadalajara | 6 | +2 | 8 |
| 10 | Navalcarnero | 6 | 0 | 8 |
| 11 | RSD Alcalá | 6 | 0 | 7 |
| 12 | Real Ávila | 6 | −3 | 7 |
| 13 | Atlético Tordesillas | 6 | −2 | 5 |
| 14 | Atlético Paso | 6 | −3 | 5 |
| 15 | Calvo Sotelo | 6 | −6 | 5 |
| 16 | Albacete II | 6 | −12 | 5 |
| 17 | Real Madrid III | 6 | −3 | 4 |
| 18 | Getafe II | 6 | −5 | 3 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
A Madrid III
Conquense
Numancia
Salamanca UDS
CF Talavera
Real Valladolid II
SS Reyes
Gimnástica Segoviana
Guadalajara
Navalcarnero
RSD Alcalá
Real Ávila
Atlético Tordesillas
Atlético Paso
Calvo Sotelo
Real Madrid III