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Home › Football › Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 › Getafe II v Albacete II

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Getafe II v Albacete II

Getafe II
2–2Full time
Albacete II

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 · SUN 18 OCT

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 13:06
Getafe II 2–2 Albacete II GETAFE II WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG2–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Getafe II win64%
The market said51%
Brier score, this match · lower is better1.060
The market’s Brier score0.854

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay15 notes · 20 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Getafe II win at 64%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Getafe II 64% before kick-off, 64% now. 0–0 · 64–21–15
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Getafe II v Albacete II
  4. 12′Albacete II score on 11′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 37–25–39
  5. 12′We said Getafe II at 64%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 37%. 0–1 · 37–25–39
  6. 12′⚽ GOAL · 11' Getafe II 0–1 Albacete II
  7. 12′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 12' Getafe II win: 64% at kick-off, 37% now
  8. 15′THE CALL SWINGS · 15' Albacete II win is now our likeliest result at 40% (was Getafe II win 35%)
  9. 16′Getafe II find the net on 15′. 1–1. 1–1 · 60–24–16
  10. 16′⚽ GOAL · 15' Getafe II 1–1 Albacete II
  11. 16′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 16' Getafe II win: 64% at kick-off, 60% now
  12. 16′THE CALL SWINGS · 16' Getafe II win is now our likeliest result at 60% (was Albacete II win 16%)
  13. 19′Getafe II level it on 16′ through Joselu. 1–1. 1–1 · 59–25–16
  14. 35′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 35' Getafe II win: 64% at kick-off, 54% now
  15. 40′We said Getafe II at 64%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 52%. 1–1 · 52–32–16
  16. 45′A goal for Albacete II on 44′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 21–29–50
  17. 45′We said Getafe II at 64%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 21%. 1–2 · 21–29–50
  18. 45′⚽ GOAL · 44' Getafe II 1–2 Albacete II
  19. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Getafe II win: 64% at kick-off, 21% now
  20. 45′THE CALL SWINGS · 45' Albacete II win is now our likeliest result at 50% (was Getafe II win 21%)
  21. 45′HALF-TIME Getafe II 1–2 Albacete II
  22. 46′SECOND HALF Getafe II 1–2 Albacete II
  23. 48′We said Getafe II at 64%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–2 · 19–29–52
  24. 57′We said Getafe II at 64%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 1–2 · 14–29–57
  25. 57′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 57' Getafe II win: 64% at kick-off, 14% now
  26. 66′We said Getafe II at 64%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–2 · 9–27–64
  27. 75′We said Getafe II at 64%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–2 · 4–22–74
  28. 75′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 75' Getafe II win: 64% at kick-off, 4% now
  29. 77′The goal count is tracking the 3.1 we expected. 1–2 · 3–20–76
  30. 86′Getafe II score on 86′ to make it 2–2. 2–2 · 11–85–4
  31. 86′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.1 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 11–85–4
  32. 86′⚽ GOAL · 86' Getafe II 2–2 Albacete II
  33. 86′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 86' Getafe II win: 64% at kick-off, 11% now
  34. 86′THE CALL SWINGS · 86' Draw is now our likeliest result at 85% (was Albacete II win 4%)
  35. 93′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+3' Getafe II win: 64% at kick-off, 3% now
  36. FTFULL TIME Getafe II 2–2 Albacete II
  37. FTGetafe II 2–2 Albacete II · Getafe II win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 2–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Getafe II are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Getafe II 64%, draw 21%, Albacete II 15%. Over 2.5 goals 59%, both teams to score 53%.

The AI’s read on Getafe II v Albacete IIBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Getafe II win64%
Draw21%
Albacete II win15%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 10:30

RoundGroup 5 · matchday 7

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Getafe II

Albacete II

7Days since last match7

Last match: 11 Oct · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

Last match: 11 Oct · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
16Albacete II6−125
18Getafe II6−53

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · getafe ii winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
64% The market51%
Us64%
Market51%

We make Getafe II a 64% chance to win. The market has them at 51%. We are 13 points more confident than the market. The model expects 2.1–0.9.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Getafe II v Albacete II2.14 – 0.93
Form · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 this season · since 6 SeptW0 D3 L3 · W1 D2 L3
Table places · points 3 v 518 v 16
The market · Getafe II win51% · ours 64%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
50%55%60%65%70% 12 OCT 04:0518 OCT 10:13
Our probability · Getafe II win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 51% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Getafe II win64%51%+13
Draw21%26%−5
Albacete II win15%22%−7
Over 2.5 goals59%52%+7
Both teams to score53%54%−1
Over 1.5 goals81%75%+6
Over 3.5 goals37%32%+5
Getafe II or draw85%78%+7
Getafe II clean sheet40%––
Albacete II clean sheet13%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 10.4%
0123450 5.5 4.0 2.1 1 9.5 9.7 4.3 2 10.4 9.5 4.5 3 7.4 6.8 3.2 4 4.0 3.7 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Getafe II down, Albacete II across0–5 goals a side shown (97.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 this season · since 6 Sept

GETAFE II

DLDLDL2–2 · 0–1 · 1–1 · 0–1 · 0–0 · 1–4

ALBACETE II

DWLDLL0–0 · 4–3 · 1–6 · 2–2 · 0–4 · 0–4

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1A Madrid III7+314
2Conquense6+713
3Numancia6+512
4Salamanca UDS6+312
5CF Talavera6+311
6Real Valladolid II6+710
7SS Reyes6+310
8Gimnástica Segoviana7+19
9Guadalajara6+28
10Navalcarnero608
11RSD Alcalá607
12Real Ávila6−37
13Atlético Tordesillas6−25
14Atlético Paso6−35
15Calvo Sotelo6−65
16Albacete II6−125
17Real Madrid III6−34
18Getafe II6−53

The competition's standings before kick-off.