Add to your Home ScreenGet the appFree · no ads
Pitchside Lab
Model 1.1

Home › Football › Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 › Conquense v Albacete II

Back
Spain flag

Conquense v Albacete II

Conquense
4–0Full time
Albacete II

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 · SUN 11 OCT

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 21:47
Conquense 4–0 Albacete II CONQUENSE WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Conquense win61%
The market said55%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.234
The market’s Brier score0.303

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.

The model’s prediction on this page stays free.

Get the 30-day pass ›

Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Conquense win61%
Draw22%
Albacete II win17%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 17:00

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Conquense

Albacete II

7Days since last match8
2Matches in previous 14 days2

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#TEAMPGDPTS
4Conquense5+310
14Albacete II5−85

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · conquense winPublished 11 Oct 17:22
61% The market56%
Us61%
Market56%

We make Conquense a 61% chance to win. The market has them at 56%. We are 5 points more confident than the market. The model expects 2.0–0.9.

How the number movedSince we published
45%50%55%60%65% 9 OCT 06:2011 OCT 17:30
Our probability · conquense win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 60% to 56% in the same time.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Conquense win61%56%+5
Draw22%27%−5
Albacete II win17%17%0
Over 2.5 goals55%43%+11
Both teams to score51%45%+7
Over 1.5 goals78%67%+11
Over 3.5 goals33%25%+8
Conquense or draw83%83%0
Conquense clean sheet40%––
Albacete II clean sheet15%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 7 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 10.7%
0123450 6.4 5.0 2.5 1 10.7 10.4 4.6 2 10.6 9.6 4.4 3 6.9 6.3 2.9 4 3.4 3.1 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Conquense down, Albacete II across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

CONQUENSE

WDWWWL1–0 · 2–2 · 2–1 · 1–0 · 3–1 · 2–3

ALBACETE II

DWLDL0–0 · 4–3 · 1–6 · 2–2 · 0–4

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Salamanca UDS6+312
2A Madrid III5+312
3Numancia5+511
4Conquense5+310
5SS Reyes6+310
6Real Valladolid II5+79
7CF Talavera5+28
8Gimnástica Segoviana5+17
9Navalcarnero507
10RSD Alcalá506
11Real Ávila5−36
12Guadalajara5−15
13Atlético Paso5−25
14Albacete II5−85
15Atlético Tordesillas5−24
16Calvo Sotelo5−64
17Getafe II5−23
18Real Madrid III5−33

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.