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Atlético Paso v Real Ávila
Atlético PasoReal ÁvilaSegunda División RFEF - Group 5 · SAT 24 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Atlético Paso are narrow favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Atlético Paso 39%, draw 30%, Real Ávila 31%. Over 2.5 goals 41%, both teams to score 47%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
Atlético Paso win39%Real Ávila win31%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 19:30
RoundGroup 5 · matchday 8
Match timeline
All events
Atlético PasoMINReal ÁvilaEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Atlético Paso
Real Ávila
Last match: 18 Oct · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Last match: 18 Oct · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
The game in numbers
Match statistics
League table
2026/27Positions before kick-off
| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Real Ávila | 7 | −4 | 7 |
| 14 | Atlético Paso | 7 | −3 | 6 |
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Atlético Paso a 39% chance to win. The market has them at 35%. We are 4 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.2–1.1.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 38%, 39% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 35% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Paso win | 39% | 35% | +4 |
| Draw | 30% | 29% | +1 |
| Real Ávila win | 31% | 35% | −4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41% | 45% | −4 |
| Both teams to score | 47% | 51% | −4 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 68% | 70% | −2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 21% | 25% | −4 |
| Atlético Paso or draw | 69% | 65% | +4 |
| Atlético Paso clean sheet | 34% | – | – |
| Real Ávila clean sheet | 29% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 7 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2021/22No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 this season · since 13 Sept
ATLÉTICO PASO
REAL ÁVILA
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Conquense | 7 | +7 | 14 |
| 2 |  A Madrid III | 7 | +3 | 14 |
| 3 |  Real Valladolid II | 7 | +8 | 13 |
| 4 |  Numancia | 7 | +5 | 13 |
| 5 |  SS Reyes | 7 | +4 | 13 |
| 6 |  Salamanca UDS | 7 | +3 | 13 |
| 7 |  CF Talavera | 7 | +3 | 12 |
| 8 |  Gimnástica Segoviana | 7 | +1 | 9 |
| 9 |  Navalcarnero | 7 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 |  Atlético Tordesillas | 7 | +1 | 8 |
| 11 |  RSD Alcalá | 7 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 |  Guadalajara | 7 | −1 | 8 |
| 13 | Real Ávila | 7 | −4 | 7 |
| 14 | Atlético Paso | 7 | −3 | 6 |
| 15 |  Albacete II | 7 | −12 | 6 |
| 16 |  Real Madrid III | 7 | −3 | 5 |
| 17 |  Calvo Sotelo | 7 | −7 | 5 |
| 18 |  Getafe II | 7 | −5 | 4 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.