Xerez v Ciudad de Lucena

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Xerez win at 44%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Xerez was 44% before kick-off and our model makes it 43% now. 0–0 · 43–31–26
3. 1′KICK-OFF Xerez v Ciudad de Lucena
4. 33′THE CALL SWINGS · 33' Draw is now our likeliest result at 41% (was Xerez win 36%)
5. 39′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 39' Xerez win: 44% at kick-off, 34% now
6. 45′We said Xerez at 44%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 32%. 0–0 · 32–47–21
7. 45′HALF-TIME Xerez 0–0 Ciudad de Lucena
8. 46′SECOND HALF Xerez 0–0 Ciudad de Lucena
9. 52′We said Xerez at 44%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–52–19
10. 62′We said Xerez at 44%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–60–16
11. 62′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 62' Xerez win: 44% at kick-off, 24% now
12. 70′We said Xerez at 44%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 19–68–13
13. 77′We said Xerez at 44%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 14–77–9
14. 77′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 77' Xerez win: 44% at kick-off, 14% now
15. 82′We said Xerez at 44%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 9–85–6
16. 89′A goal for Ciudad de Lucena on 88′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 0–4–96
17. 89′We said Xerez at 44%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at under 1%. 0–1 · 0–4–96
18. 89′⚽ GOAL · 88' Xerez 0–1 Ciudad de Lucena
19. 89′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 89' Xerez win: 44% at kick-off, under 1% now
20. 89′THE CALL SWINGS · 89' Ciudad de Lucena win is now our likeliest result at 96% (was Draw 4%)
21. FTFULL TIME Xerez 0–1 Ciudad de Lucena
22. FTXerez 0–1 Ciudad de Lucena · Xerez win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.