Tamaraceite v Real Betis II

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Real Betis II win at 50%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Real Betis II was 50% before kick-off and our model makes it 50% now. 0–0 · 24–26–50
3. 1′KICK-OFF Tamaraceite v Real Betis II
4. 32′Real Betis II find the net on 32′. 0–0 · 22–35–43
5. 32′We published Real Betis II at 50%. Our model now makes it 78%. 0–1 · 6–17–78
6. 32′Goals are coming at about the 2.4 we expected. 0–1 · 6–17–78
7. 32′⚽ GOAL · 32' Tamaraceite 0–1 Real Betis II
8. 32′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 32' Real Betis II win: 50% at kick-off, 78% now
9. 37′Real Betis II find the net on 37′. 0–2. 0–2 · 1–4–95
10. 37′We published Real Betis II at 50%. Our model now makes it 95%. 0–2 · 1–4–95
11. 37′⚽ GOAL · 37' Tamaraceite 0–2 Real Betis II
12. 37′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 37' Real Betis II win: 50% at kick-off, 95% now
13. 45′Real Betis II ahead on 38′ through R. Zurdazo. 0–2. 0–2 · 1–4–96
14. 45′HALF-TIME Tamaraceite 0–2 Real Betis II
15. 46′SECOND HALF Tamaraceite 0–2 Real Betis II
16. 64′A goal for Tamaraceite on 63′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 2–14–84
17. 64′We published Real Betis II at 50%. Our model now makes it 84%. 1–2 · 2–14–84
18. 64′⚽ GOAL · 63' Tamaraceite 1–2 Real Betis II
19. 64′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 64' Real Betis II win: 50% at kick-off, 84% now
20. 65′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.4 across ninety minutes. 1–2 · 2–14–84
21. 66′Tamaraceite score on 65′ to make it 2–2. 2–2 · 15–58–27
22. 66′We said Real Betis II at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 27%. 2–2 · 15–58–27
23. 66′4 goals already, more than the 2.4 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 15–58–27
24. 66′⚽ GOAL · 65' Tamaraceite 2–2 Real Betis II
25. 66′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 66' Real Betis II win: 50% at kick-off, 27% now
26. 66′THE CALL SWINGS · 66' Draw is now our likeliest result at 58% (was Real Betis II win 27%)
27. 69′We said Real Betis II at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 2–2 · 14–62–24
28. 74′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 74' Real Betis II win: 50% at kick-off, 20% now
29. 75′We said Real Betis II at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 2–2 · 11–70–19
30. 80′We said Real Betis II at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 2–2 · 8–78–14
31. 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 83' Real Betis II win: 50% at kick-off, 10% now
32. 84′We said Real Betis II at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 2–2 · 5–86–9
33. 90′Tamaraceite find the net on 90′. 3–2. 3–2 · 95–5–0
34. 90′We said Real Betis II at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at under 1%. 3–2 · 95–5–0
35. 90′That is 5, and we only asked for 2.4 across ninety minutes. 3–2 · 95–5–0
36. 90′⚽ GOAL · 90+6' Tamaraceite 3–2 Real Betis II
37. 90′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90' Real Betis II win: 50% at kick-off, under 1% now
38. 90′THE CALL SWINGS · 90' Tamaraceite win is now our likeliest result at 95% (was Draw 5%)
39. FTFULL TIME Tamaraceite 3–2 Real Betis II
40. FTTamaraceite 3–2 Real Betis II · Real Betis II win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 0–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.