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Sanluqueño v Las Palmas II
SanluqueñoLas Palmas IISegunda División RFEF - Group 4 · SUN 25 OCT · Estadio El Palmar
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Sanluqueño are clear favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Sanluqueño 63%, draw 21%, Las Palmas II 16%. Over 2.5 goals 53%, both teams to score 47%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off
Sanluqueño win63%Las Palmas II win16%Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 11:00
RoundGroup 4 · matchday 8
VenueEstadio El Palmar
Match timeline
All events
SanluqueñoMINLas Palmas IIEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Sanluqueño
Las Palmas II
Last match: 18 Oct · Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Last match: 18 Oct · Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
The game in numbers
Match statistics
League table
2026/27Positions before kick-off
| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Sanluqueño | 7 | −1 | 7 |
| 17 | Las Palmas II | 7 | −8 | 5 |
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Sanluqueño a 63% chance to win. The market has them at 50%. We are 13 points more confident than the market. The model expects 2.0–0.8.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 50% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sanluqueño win | 63% | 50% | +13 |
| Draw | 21% | 27% | −6 |
| Las Palmas II win | 16% | 23% | −7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 50% | +3 |
| Both teams to score | 47% | 53% | −6 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% | 72% | +4 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32% | 30% | +2 |
| Sanluqueño or draw | 84% | 77% | +7 |
| Sanluqueño clean sheet | 44% | – | – |
| Las Palmas II clean sheet | 15% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
2 meetings since 2020/21Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 this season · since 13 Sept
SANLUQUEÑO
LAS PALMAS II
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Recreativo Huelva | 8 | +11 | 17 |
| 2 |  Real Betis II | 8 | +7 | 15 |
| 3 |  Ciudad de Lucena | 8 | +6 | 15 |
| 4 |  Don Benito | 8 | +3 | 14 |
| 5 |  Badajoz | 7 | +3 | 14 |
| 6 |  Mijas Las Lagunas | 8 | +4 | 13 |
| 7 |  Estepona | 8 | +1 | 12 |
| 8 |  Linares Deportivo | 8 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 |  Puente Genil | 7 | +2 | 10 |
| 10 |  Tenerife II | 7 | 0 | 10 |
| 11 |  Sevilla Atletico | 7 | 0 | 9 |
| 12 | Sanluqueño | 7 | −1 | 7 |
| 13 |  Xerez | 7 | −2 | 6 |
| 14 |  Marbella | 7 | −3 | 6 |
| 15 |  Atlético Central | 7 | −5 | 6 |
| 16 |  Tamaraceite | 7 | −7 | 6 |
| 17 | Las Palmas II | 7 | −8 | 5 |
| 18 |  Antoniano | 8 | −11 | 3 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.