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Model 1.1

Home › Football › Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 › Puente Genil v Tamaraceite

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Puente Genil v Tamaraceite

Puente Genil
1–0Full time
Tamaraceite

Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 · SUN 11 OCT

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 13:41
Puente Genil 1–0 Tamaraceite PUENTE GENIL WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · RIGHT
We said Puente Genil win57%
The market said50%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.280
The market’s Brier score0.383

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match pulse

FULL TIME

Match outcome probability (%)

Puente GenilDrawTamaraceite
Our model, re-priced from the score and the clock at every minuteFull time
Full time · Puente Genil 1–0 Tamaraceite

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.

The model’s prediction on this page stays free.

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Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Puente Genil

Tamaraceite

7Days since last match7
2Matches in previous 14 days2

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#TEAMPGDPTS
15Puente Genil504
17Tamaraceite5−73

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Puente Genil win57%
Draw24%
Tamaraceite win19%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 11:00

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · puente genil winPublished 11 Oct 13:43
57% The market50%
Us57%
Market50%

We make Puente Genil a 57% chance to win. The market has them at 50%. We are 7 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.7–0.8.

How the number movedSince we published
35%40%45%50%55%60% 9 OCT 06:2011 OCT 08:11
Our probability · puente genil win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 38% to 50% in the same time.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Puente Genil win57%50%+7
Draw24%28%−4
Tamaraceite win19%22%−3
Over 2.5 goals46%44%+1
Both teams to score45%48%−3
Over 1.5 goals71%68%+3
Over 3.5 goals25%25%0
Puente Genil or draw81%78%+3
Puente Genil clean sheet44%––
Tamaraceite clean sheet20%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 13.6%
0123450 8.7 7.1 3.0 1 13.6 11.0 4.6 2 11.0 8.8 3.7 3 6.2 5.0 2.1 4 2.8 2.3 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Puente Genil down, Tamaraceite across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in Segunda División RFEF - Group 4

PUENTE GENIL

LWLLDL0–1 · 4–0 · 1–2 · 0–2 · 0–0 · 0–1

TAMARACEITE

WLLLLW7–1 · 0–1 · 0–1 · 1–3 · 2–6 · 1–0

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Real Betis II6+814
2Recreativo Huelva5+612
3Don Benito5+310
4Tenerife II5+29
5Ciudad de Lucena5+38
6Sevilla Atletico5+28
7Badajoz5+18
8Estepona507
9Linares Deportivo5−17
10Mijas Las Lagunas506
11Sanluqueño506
12Xerez6−16
13Atlético Central5−26
14Marbella5−25
15Puente Genil504
16Las Palmas II5−74
17Tamaraceite5−73
18Antoniano5−52

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Last updated 2026-10-11 12:42 UTC.