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Puente Genil v Badajoz
Puente GenilBadajozSegunda División RFEF - Group 4 · SUN 25 OCT
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Puente Genil are narrow favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Puente Genil 39%, draw 31%, Badajoz 29%. Over 2.5 goals 32%, both teams to score 38%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off
Puente Genil win39%Badajoz win29%Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 11:00
RoundGroup 4 · matchday 8
Match timeline
All events
Puente GenilMINBadajozEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Puente Genil
Badajoz
Last match: 18 Oct · Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Last match: 18 Oct · Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
The game in numbers
Match statistics
League table
2026/27Positions before kick-off
| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Badajoz | 7 | +3 | 14 |
| 9 | Puente Genil | 7 | +2 | 10 |
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Puente Genil a 39% chance to win. The market has them at 33%. We are 6 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.1–0.9.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 33% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Puente Genil win | 39% | 33% | +6 |
| Draw | 31% | 31% | 0 |
| Badajoz win | 29% | 37% | −8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 32% | 40% | −8 |
| Both teams to score | 38% | 47% | −9 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 58% | 65% | −7 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 14% | 21% | −7 |
| Puente Genil or draw | 71% | 63% | +8 |
| Puente Genil clean sheet | 42% | – | – |
| Badajoz clean sheet | 34% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2021/22No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 this season · since 13 Sept
PUENTE GENIL
BADAJOZ
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Recreativo Huelva | 8 | +11 | 17 |
| 2 |  Real Betis II | 8 | +7 | 15 |
| 3 |  Ciudad de Lucena | 8 | +6 | 15 |
| 4 |  Don Benito | 8 | +3 | 14 |
| 5 | Badajoz | 7 | +3 | 14 |
| 6 |  Mijas Las Lagunas | 8 | +4 | 13 |
| 7 |  Estepona | 8 | +1 | 12 |
| 8 |  Linares Deportivo | 8 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | Puente Genil | 7 | +2 | 10 |
| 10 |  Tenerife II | 7 | 0 | 10 |
| 11 |  Sevilla Atletico | 7 | 0 | 9 |
| 12 |  Sanluqueño | 7 | −1 | 7 |
| 13 |  Xerez | 7 | −2 | 6 |
| 14 |  Marbella | 7 | −3 | 6 |
| 15 |  Atlético Central | 7 | −5 | 6 |
| 16 |  Tamaraceite | 7 | −7 | 6 |
| 17 |  Las Palmas II | 7 | −8 | 5 |
| 18 |  Antoniano | 8 | −11 | 3 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.