Mijas Las Lagunas v Real Betis II

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Mijas Las Lagunas win at 42%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Mijas Las Lagunas 42% before kick-off, 42% now. 0–0 · 42–26–32
3. 1′KICK-OFF Mijas Las Lagunas v Real Betis II
4. 42′THE CALL SWINGS · 42' Draw is now our likeliest result at 39% (was Mijas Las Lagunas win 36%)
5. 45′HALF-TIME Mijas Las Lagunas 0–0 Real Betis II
6. 46′SECOND HALF Mijas Las Lagunas 0–0 Real Betis II
7. 48′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 48' Mijas Las Lagunas win: 42% at kick-off, 32% now
8. 53′We said Mijas Las Lagunas at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 30%. 0–0 · 30–45–24
9. 55′Goalless on 55′ when we expected about 2.6 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 30–47–24
10. 56′We said Mijas Las Lagunas at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–47–23
11. 66′We said Mijas Las Lagunas at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–57–20
12. 67′Mijas Las Lagunas find the net on 66′. 1–0. 1–0 · 81–16–3
13. 67′We said Mijas Las Lagunas at 42% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 81%. 1–0 · 81–16–3
14. 67′⚽ GOAL · 66' Mijas Las Lagunas 1–0 Real Betis II
15. 67′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 67' Mijas Las Lagunas win: 42% at kick-off, 81% now
16. 67′THE CALL SWINGS · 67' Mijas Las Lagunas win is now our likeliest result at 81% (was Draw 57%)
17. 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 69' Mijas Las Lagunas win: 42% at kick-off, 82% now
18. 71′A goal for Real Betis II on 71′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 21–63–17
19. 71′⚽ GOAL · 71' Mijas Las Lagunas 1–1 Real Betis II
20. 71′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 71' Mijas Las Lagunas win: 42% at kick-off, 21% now
21. 71′THE CALL SWINGS · 71' Draw is now our likeliest result at 63% (was Mijas Las Lagunas win 83%)
22. 72′The goal count is tracking the 2.6 we expected. 1–1 · 20–64–16
23. 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 72' Mijas Las Lagunas win: 42% at kick-off, 20% now
24. 73′We said Mijas Las Lagunas at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–65–16
25. 79′We said Mijas Las Lagunas at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 14–75–11
26. 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 81' Mijas Las Lagunas win: 42% at kick-off, 12% now
27. 83′We said Mijas Las Lagunas at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–83–8
28. 90′We said Mijas Las Lagunas at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–92–4
29. 93′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+3' Mijas Las Lagunas win: 42% at kick-off, 2% now
30. FTFULL TIME Mijas Las Lagunas 1–1 Real Betis II
31. FTMijas Las Lagunas 1–1 Real Betis II · Mijas Las Lagunas win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.