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Home › Football › Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 › Atlético Central v Tamaraceite

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Atlético Central v Tamaraceite

Atlético Central
11:00Upcoming
Tamaraceite

Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 · SUN 25 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Atlético CentralDrawTamaraceite
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 11:00
Before kick-off · Match result · Atlético Central 59%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Atlético Central are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Atlético Central 59%, draw 21%, Tamaraceite 21%. Over 2.5 goals 60%, both teams to score 57%.

The AI’s read on Atlético Central v TamaraceiteBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Atlético Central win59%
Draw21%
Tamaraceite win21%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 11:00

RoundGroup 4 · matchday 8

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Atlético Central

Tamaraceite

7Days since last match7

Last match: 18 Oct · Segunda División RFEF - Group 4

Last match: 18 Oct · Segunda División RFEF - Group 4

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
15Atlético Central7−56
16Tamaraceite7−76

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · atlético central winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off
59% The market49%
Us59%
Market49%

We make Atlético Central a 59% chance to win. The market has them at 49%. We are 10 points more confident than the market. The model expects 2.1–1.1.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Atlético Central v Tamaraceite2.06 – 1.10
Form · last six in Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 this season · since 13 SeptW1 D0 L5 · W2 D0 L4
Table places · points 6 v 615 v 16
The market · Atlético Central win49% · ours 59%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
40%45%50%55%60% 19 OCT 01:3724 OCT 23:46
Our probability · Atlético Central win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 49% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Atlético Central win59%49%+10
Draw21%26%−5
Tamaraceite win21%25%−4
Over 2.5 goals60%53%+7
Both teams to score57%56%+1
Over 1.5 goals81%76%+5
Over 3.5 goals38%33%+5
Atlético Central or draw79%75%+4
Atlético Central clean sheet34%––
Tamaraceite clean sheet14%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.6%
0123450 4.7 5.1 2.8 1 9.0 9.6 5.3 2 8.8 9.3 5.1 3 6.0 6.3 3.4 4 3.2 3.3 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Atlético Central down, Tamaraceite across0–5 goals a side shown (97.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2024/25

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2024/25.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 this season · since 13 Sept

ATLÉTICO CENTRAL

LLWLLL1–3 · 1–4 · 2–0 · 0–1 · 2–3 · 2–4

TAMARACEITE

LLLWLW0–1 · 1–3 · 2–6 · 1–0 · 0–1 · 3–2

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Real Betis II7+714
2Recreativo Huelva7+614
3Ciudad de Lucena7+614
4Badajoz7+314
5Don Benito7+313
6Mijas Las Lagunas7+412
7Estepona7+111
8Linares Deportivo7011
9Puente Genil7+210
10Tenerife II7010
11Sevilla Atletico709
12Sanluqueño7−17
13Xerez7−26
14Marbella7−36
15Atlético Central7−56
16Tamaraceite7−76
17Las Palmas II7−85
18Antoniano7−63

The competition's standings before kick-off.