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Elche II v Valencia II
Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 · SAT 10 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Elche II win at 40%.
- 1′KICK-OFF Elche II v Valencia II
- 3′Much as we predicted: Elche II was 40% before kick-off and our model makes it 39% now. 0–0 · 39–27–34
- 25′⚽ GOAL · 26' Elche II 0–0 Valencia II
- 26′26′ and it is 0–0: Elche II have scored. 0–0 · 36–33–31
- 26′⚽ GOAL · 26' Elche II 1–0 Valencia II
- 33′⚽ GOAL · 33' Elche II 2–0 Valencia II
- 44′🟥 RED CARD · 44' Valencia II
- 45′⚽ GOAL · 46' Elche II 3–0 Valencia II
- 45′HALF-TIME Elche II 3–0 Valencia II
- 46′SECOND HALF Elche II 3–0 Valencia II
- 77′⚽ GOAL · 76' Elche II 3–1 Valencia II
- 90′⚽ GOAL · 93' Elche II 4–1 Valencia II
- FTFULL TIME Elche II 4–1 Valencia II
- FTElche II 4–1 Valencia II · Elche II win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
Match updates
Recorded match details below.
Timeline
Events will appear when the match starts.
Pre-match prediction
Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15
Match information
SAT 10 OCT · 16:00
The game so far
Recorded statisticsMatch statistics
Match statistics are not available yet.
Players on the pitch
Recorded line-upsLine-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics are not available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Elche II a 40% chance to win. The market has them at 31%. We are 9 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.3–1.2.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elche II win | 40% | 31% | +9 |
| Draw | 26% | 28% | −2 |
| Valencia II win | 34% | 41% | −7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% | 51% | −4 |
| Both teams to score | 52% | 56% | −4 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72% | 73% | −1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26% | 31% | −5 |
| Elche II or draw | 66% | 59% | +7 |
| Elche II clean sheet | 30% | – | – |
| Valencia II clean sheet | 26% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
2 meetings since 2024Form · last six in Segunda División RFEF - Group 3
ELCHE II
VALENCIA II
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Castellón II | 5 | +7 | 12 |
| 2 |  La Nucía | 5 | +6 | 12 |
| 3 |  Castellonense | 5 | +5 | 12 |
| 4 |  Alcoyano | 5 | +2 | 10 |
| 5 |  Ucam Murcia | 5 | +6 | 9 |
| 6 |  Intercity | 5 | +2 | 9 |
| 7 |  Cieza | 5 | +4 | 8 |
| 8 |  Deportiva Minera | 5 | +1 | 8 |
| 9 |  Yeclano | 5 | +1 | 8 |
| 10 |  Orihuela | 5 | −5 | 7 |
| 11 |  Lorca Deportiva | 5 | −1 | 5 |
| 12 |  Mallorca II | 5 | −2 | 5 |
| 13 |  Atlético Baleares | 5 | −3 | 5 |
| 14 | Valencia II | 5 | −2 | 4 |
| 15 | Elche II | 5 | −5 | 4 |
| 16 |  Poblense | 5 | −4 | 3 |
| 17 |  Real Murcia II | 5 | −7 | 3 |
| 18 |  Peña Deportiva | 5 | −5 | 1 |
Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.