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Reddis v Espanyol II
Reddis
Espanyol IISegunda División RFEF - Group 2 · SUN 18 OCT · Estadi Municipal de Reus
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Espanyol II win at 40%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Espanyol II 40% before kick-off, 40% now. 0–0 · 33–27–40
- 1′KICK-OFF Reddis v Espanyol II
- 22′A goal for Espanyol II on 22′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 12–20–68
- 22′⚽ GOAL · 22' Reddis 0–1 Espanyol II
- 22′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 22' Espanyol II win: 40% at kick-off, 68% now
- 24′We said Espanyol II at 40% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 69%. 0–1 · 11–20–69
- 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.6 we expected. 0–1 · 10–20–69
- 31′We said Espanyol II at 40% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 70%. 0–1 · 10–20–70
- 31′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 31' Espanyol II win: 40% at kick-off, 70% now
- 45′HALF-TIME Reddis 0–1 Espanyol II
- 46′A. Santiago scores for Espanyol II on 21′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 7–20–72
- 46′🟨 YELLOW · 36' A. Gutierrez · Reddis
- 46′🟥 RED CARD · 36' A. Gutierrez · Reddis
- 46′SECOND HALF Reddis 0–1 Espanyol II
- 47′Reddis are down to ten from 36′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 0–1 · 7–20–73
- 54′We said Espanyol II at 40% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 0–1 · 6–20–75
- 67′We said Espanyol II at 40% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 0–1 · 3–17–80
- 67′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 67' Espanyol II win: 40% at kick-off, 80% now
- 72′GOAL DISALLOWED · 72' Reddis
- 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 72' Espanyol II win: 40% at kick-off, 83% now
- 72′THE CALL SWINGS · 72' Espanyol II win is now our likeliest result at 83% (was Draw 15%)
- 73′Reddis score on 73′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 17–65–19
- 73′We said Espanyol II at 40%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 17–65–19
- 73′⚽ GOAL · 73' Reddis 1–1 Espanyol II
- 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 73' Espanyol II win: 40% at kick-off, 19% now
- 73′THE CALL SWINGS · 73' Draw is now our likeliest result at 65% (was Espanyol II win 19%)
- 74′⚽ GOAL · 74' Reddis 1–1 Espanyol II
- 74′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 74' Espanyol II win: 40% at kick-off, 18% now
- 74′THE CALL SWINGS · 74' Draw is now our likeliest result at 66% (was Espanyol II win 18%)
- 78′We said Espanyol II at 40%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 13–73–14
- 78′72′: P. Fernandez on the scoresheet for Reddis, making it 1–1. 1–1 · 13–73–14
- 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' Espanyol II win: 40% at kick-off, 10% now
- 83′We said Espanyol II at 40%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 8–82–9
- 90′We said Espanyol II at 40%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–92–4
- FTFULL TIME Reddis 1–1 Espanyol II
- FTReddis 1–1 Espanyol II · Espanyol II win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Espanyol II are narrow favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Reddis 33%, draw 27%, Espanyol II 40%. Over 2.5 goals 49%, both teams to score 53%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Reddis win33%
Espanyol II win40%Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 11:00
RoundGroup 2 · matchday 7
VenueEstadi Municipal de Reus
Match timeline
All events
ReddisMIN
Espanyol IIEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Reddis
Espanyol II
Last match: 11 Oct · Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Last match: 11 Oct · Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Espanyol II a 40% chance to win. The market has them at 42%. We are within 2 points of the market. The model expects 1.3–1.4.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 42% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Reddis win | 33% | 28% | +5 |
| Draw | 27% | 30% | −3 |
| Espanyol II win | 40% | 42% | −2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | 44% | +5 |
| Both teams to score | 53% | 50% | +3 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% | 68% | +6 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% | 25% | +3 |
| Reddis or draw | 60% | 58% | +2 |
| Reddis clean sheet | 26% | – | – |
| Espanyol II clean sheet | 30% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
2 meetings since 2023/24Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 this season · since 6 Sept
REDDIS
ESPANYOL II
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona B | 7 | +13 | 19 |
| 2 | Osasuna II | 7 | +6 | 14 |
| 3 | Ebro | 7 | +4 | 13 |
| 4 | Espanyol II | 5 | +11 | 12 |
| 5 | Olot | 7 | +4 | 12 |
| 6 | Manresa | 6 | +6 | 10 |
| 7 | Girona II | 6 | +2 | 10 |
| 8 | Reddis | 6 | −2 | 9 |
| 9 | Terrassa | 5 | +1 | 8 |
| 10 | UD Logroñés II | 6 | −1 | 8 |
| 11 | Tudelano | 6 | −1 | 7 |
| 12 | Utebo | 7 | −1 | 7 |
| 13 | Peña Sport | 6 | −2 | 7 |
| 14 | Barbastro | 6 | −1 | 6 |
| 15 | Náxara | 5 | −6 | 4 |
| 16 | Calamocha | 6 | −12 | 3 |
| 17 | SD Logroñés | 6 | −8 | 2 |
| 18 | Arnedo | 6 | −13 | 1 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Barcelona B
Osasuna II
Ebro
Olot
Manresa
Girona II
Terrassa
UD Logroñés II
Tudelano
Utebo
Peña Sport
Barbastro
Náxara
Calamocha
SD Logroñés
Arnedo