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Reddis v Espanyol II

Reddis
1–1Full time
Espanyol II

Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 · SUN 18 OCT · Estadi Municipal de Reus

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 13:36
Reddis 1–1 Espanyol II ESPANYOL II WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · RIGHT
We said Espanyol II win40%
The market said42%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.799
The market’s Brier score0.747

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay15 notes · 20 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Espanyol II win at 40%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Espanyol II 40% before kick-off, 40% now. 0–0 · 33–27–40
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Reddis v Espanyol II
  4. 22′A goal for Espanyol II on 22′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 12–20–68
  5. 22′⚽ GOAL · 22' Reddis 0–1 Espanyol II
  6. 22′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 22' Espanyol II win: 40% at kick-off, 68% now
  7. 24′We said Espanyol II at 40% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 69%. 0–1 · 11–20–69
  8. 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.6 we expected. 0–1 · 10–20–69
  9. 31′We said Espanyol II at 40% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 70%. 0–1 · 10–20–70
  10. 31′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 31' Espanyol II win: 40% at kick-off, 70% now
  11. 45′HALF-TIME Reddis 0–1 Espanyol II
  12. 46′A. Santiago scores for Espanyol II on 21′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 7–20–72
  13. 46′🟨 YELLOW · 36' A. Gutierrez · Reddis
  14. 46′🟥 RED CARD · 36' A. Gutierrez · Reddis
  15. 46′SECOND HALF Reddis 0–1 Espanyol II
  16. 47′Reddis are down to ten from 36′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 0–1 · 7–20–73
  17. 54′We said Espanyol II at 40% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 0–1 · 6–20–75
  18. 67′We said Espanyol II at 40% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 0–1 · 3–17–80
  19. 67′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 67' Espanyol II win: 40% at kick-off, 80% now
  20. 72′GOAL DISALLOWED · 72' Reddis
  21. 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 72' Espanyol II win: 40% at kick-off, 83% now
  22. 72′THE CALL SWINGS · 72' Espanyol II win is now our likeliest result at 83% (was Draw 15%)
  23. 73′Reddis score on 73′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 17–65–19
  24. 73′We said Espanyol II at 40%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 17–65–19
  25. 73′⚽ GOAL · 73' Reddis 1–1 Espanyol II
  26. 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 73' Espanyol II win: 40% at kick-off, 19% now
  27. 73′THE CALL SWINGS · 73' Draw is now our likeliest result at 65% (was Espanyol II win 19%)
  28. 74′⚽ GOAL · 74' Reddis 1–1 Espanyol II
  29. 74′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 74' Espanyol II win: 40% at kick-off, 18% now
  30. 74′THE CALL SWINGS · 74' Draw is now our likeliest result at 66% (was Espanyol II win 18%)
  31. 78′We said Espanyol II at 40%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 13–73–14
  32. 78′72′: P. Fernandez on the scoresheet for Reddis, making it 1–1. 1–1 · 13–73–14
  33. 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' Espanyol II win: 40% at kick-off, 10% now
  34. 83′We said Espanyol II at 40%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 8–82–9
  35. 90′We said Espanyol II at 40%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–92–4
  36. FTFULL TIME Reddis 1–1 Espanyol II
  37. FTReddis 1–1 Espanyol II · Espanyol II win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Espanyol II are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Reddis 33%, draw 27%, Espanyol II 40%. Over 2.5 goals 49%, both teams to score 53%.

The AI’s read on Reddis v Espanyol IIBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Reddis win33%
Draw27%
Espanyol II win40%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 11:00

RoundGroup 2 · matchday 7

VenueEstadi Municipal de Reus

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Reddis

Espanyol II

7Days since last match7

Last match: 11 Oct · Segunda División RFEF - Group 2

Last match: 11 Oct · Segunda División RFEF - Group 2

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
4Espanyol II5+1112
8Reddis6−29

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · espanyol ii winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
40% The market42%
Us40%
Market42%

We make Espanyol II a 40% chance to win. The market has them at 42%. We are within 2 points of the market. The model expects 1.3–1.4.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Reddis v Espanyol II1.25 – 1.39
Form · Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 this season · since 6 SeptW3 D0 L3 · W4 D0 L1
Table places · points 9 v 128 v 4
The market · Espanyol II win42% · ours 40%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
35%40%45% 12 OCT 04:0518 OCT 10:44
Our probability · Espanyol II win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 42% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Reddis win33%28%+5
Draw27%30%−3
Espanyol II win40%42%−2
Over 2.5 goals49%44%+5
Both teams to score53%50%+3
Over 1.5 goals74%68%+6
Over 3.5 goals28%25%+3
Reddis or draw60%58%+2
Reddis clean sheet26%––
Espanyol II clean sheet30%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.5%
0123450 8.4 9.4 6.9 3.3 1 8.4 12.5 8.2 3.9 2 5.6 7.4 5.0 2.4 3 2.4 3.2 2.2 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Reddis down, Espanyol II across0–5 goals a side shown (99.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2023/24
Goals a meeting3.50
Over 2.51 of 2
Both scored1 of 2
Last meetingsESP 2–0 RED · RED 3–2 ESP

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 this season · since 6 Sept

REDDIS

LLWWLW0–1 · 0–2 · 1–0 · 1–0 · 1–4 · 3–1

ESPANYOL II

WWLWW2–1 · 5–0 · 1–2 · 5–0 · 2–1

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Barcelona B7+1319
2Osasuna II7+614
3Ebro7+413
4Espanyol II5+1112
5Olot7+412
6Manresa6+610
7Girona II6+210
8Reddis6−29
9Terrassa5+18
10UD Logroñés II6−18
11Tudelano6−17
12Utebo7−17
13Peña Sport6−27
14Barbastro6−16
15Náxara5−64
16Calamocha6−123
17SD Logroñés6−82
18Arnedo6−131

The competition's standings before kick-off.