Olot v Barcelona B prediction · Segunda División RFEF

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

OlotDrawBarcelona B

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 16:30

Before kick-off · Match result · Olot 37%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Olot just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Olot 37%, draw 28%, Barcelona B 35%. Over 2.5 goals 47%, both teams to score 52%.

The AI’s read on Olot v Barcelona BBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Olot win37%

Draw28%

Barcelona B win35%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 16:30

RoundGroup 2 · matchday 8

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Olot

Barcelona B

8Days since last match8

Last match: 17 Oct · Segunda División RFEF - Group 2

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · olot winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

37% The market25%

Us37%

~~Market~~25%

We make Olot a 37% chance to win. The market has them at 25%. We are 12 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.3–1.3.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Olot v Barcelona B~~1.31 – 1.26

~~Form · last six in Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 this season · since 13 Sept~~W3 D2 L1 · W5 D1 L0

~~Table places · points 12 v 19~~7 v 1

~~The market · Olot win~~25% · ours 37%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Olot win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 25% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Olot win	37%	25%	+12
Draw	28%	28%	0
Barcelona B win	35%	47%	−12
Over 2.5 goals	47%	47%	0
Both teams to score	52%	51%	+1
Over 1.5 goals	73%	70%	+3
Over 3.5 goals	26%	28%	−2
Olot or draw	65%	53%	+12
Olot clean sheet	29%	–	–
Barcelona B clean sheet	28%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.0%

0123450 9.1 9.0 6.2 2.7 1 9.3 13.0 7.6 3.3 2 6.5 7.8 4.9 2.1 3 2.9 3.5 2.2 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Olot down, Barcelona B across0–5 goals a side shown (99.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,597 Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 matches have gone over 2.5 in 44.8% of games this season, across 67 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 5 previous meetings since 2019/20 in every competition we cover, 2.20 goals a meeting; 2 of 5 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Olot at home: 1.33 scored, 1.67 conceded a game (last 3). Barcelona B away: 1.00 scored, 0.33 conceded (last 3).

What the model expects

1.31 goals for Olot, 1.26 for Barcelona B. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

5 meetings since 2019/20

~~Goals a meeting~~2.20

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 5

~~Both scored~~3 of 5

~~Last meetings~~OLO 1–1 BAR · BAR 2–0 OLO · BAR 2–1 OLO · OLO 2–1 BAR

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 this season · since 13 Sept

OLOT

WLWWDD2–1 · 1–2 · 2–0 · 4–2 · 1–1 · 0–0

BARCELONA B

DWWWWW0–0 · 1–0 · 4–0 · 2–1 · 1–0 · 2–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Barcelona B	7	+13	19
2	Manresa	8	+7	14
3	Osasuna II	7	+6	14
4	Terrassa	7	+5	14
5	Espanyol II	6	+11	13
6	Ebro	8	+3	13
7	Olot	7	+4	12
8	Reddis	8	−2	11
9	Girona II	7	+1	10
10	Tudelano	8	−1	9
11	Peña Sport	8	−2	9
12	UD Logroñés II	8	−4	9
13	Barbastro	8	−1	8
14	Utebo	8	−1	8
15	Náxara	6	−6	5
16	Calamocha	8	−12	5
17	SD Logroñés	7	−8	3
18	Arnedo	8	−13	3