Manresa v Ebro

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Manresa win at 44%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Manresa was 44% before kick-off and our model makes it 43% now. 0–0 · 43–30–27
3. 1′KICK-OFF Manresa v Ebro
4. 2′Ebro score on 1′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 20–23–57
5. 2′We said Manresa at 44%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 20%. 0–1 · 20–23–57
6. 2′⚽ GOAL · 1' Manresa 0–1 Ebro
7. 2′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 2' Manresa win: 44% at kick-off, 20% now
8. 2′THE CALL SWINGS · 2' Ebro win is now our likeliest result at 57% (was Manresa win 43%)
9. 5′We said Manresa at 44%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 19–23–57
10. 9′Ebro find the net on 8′. 0–2. 0–2 · 6–12–81
11. 9′We said Manresa at 44%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 6%. 0–2 · 6–12–81
12. 9′⚽ GOAL · 8' Manresa 0–2 Ebro
13. 9′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 9' Manresa win: 44% at kick-off, 6% now
14. 19′A goal for Manresa on 19′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 16–24–60
15. 19′⚽ GOAL · 19' Manresa 1–2 Ebro
16. 23′Pochito scores for Manresa on 18′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 15–24–60
17. 26′We said Manresa at 44%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 1–2 · 14–24–61
18. 30′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.2 across ninety minutes. 1–2 · 13–25–62
19. 45′HALF-TIME Manresa 1–2 Ebro
20. 46′SECOND HALF Manresa 1–2 Ebro
21. 50′Manresa score on 50′ to make it 2–2. 2–2 · 32–47–21
22. 50′We said Manresa at 44%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 32%. 2–2 · 32–47–21
23. 50′⚽ GOAL · 50' Manresa 2–2 Ebro
24. 50′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 50' Manresa win: 44% at kick-off, 32% now
25. 50′THE CALL SWINGS · 50' Draw is now our likeliest result at 47% (was Ebro win 68%)
26. 51′4 goals already, more than the 2.2 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 31–48–21
27. 55′We said Manresa at 44%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 2–2 · 29–51–20
28. 65′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 65' Manresa win: 44% at kick-off, 24% now
29. 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 78' Manresa win: 44% at kick-off, 14% now
30. 90′We said Manresa at 44%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 2–2 · 4–93–3
31. 90′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90' Manresa win: 44% at kick-off, 4% now
32. 91′Manresa find the net on 90′. 3–2. 3–2 · 98–2–0
33. 91′⚽ GOAL · 90+1' Manresa 3–2 Ebro
34. 91′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+1' Manresa win: 44% at kick-off, 98% now
35. 91′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+1' Manresa win is now our likeliest result at 98% (was Draw 93%)
36. 92′We published Manresa at 44%. Our model now makes it 98%. 3–2 · 98–2–0
37. 93′That is 5, and we only asked for 2.2 across ninety minutes. 3–2 · 98–2–0
38. FTFULL TIME Manresa 3–2 Ebro
39. FTManresa 3–2 Ebro · Manresa win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.