Home › Football › Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 › Girona II v Náxara
Back
Girona II v Náxara
Girona IINáxaraSegunda División RFEF - Group 2 · SUN 25 OCT
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Girona II are clear favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Girona II 61%, draw 22%, Náxara 17%. Over 2.5 goals 57%, both teams to score 53%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off
Girona II win61%Náxara win17%Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 15:00
RoundGroup 2 · matchday 8
Match timeline
All events
Girona IIMINNáxaraEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Girona II
Náxara
Last match: 21 Oct · Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Last match: 18 Oct · Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
The game in numbers
Match statistics
League table
2026/27Positions before kick-off
| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Girona II | 7 | +1 | 10 |
| 15 | Náxara | 6 | −6 | 5 |
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Girona II a 61% chance to win. The market has them at 68%. We are 7 points less confident than the market. The model expects 2.0–1.0.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 63%, 61% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 68% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Girona II win | 61% | 68% | −7 |
| Draw | 22% | 20% | +2 |
| Náxara win | 17% | 12% | +5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 56% | +1 |
| Both teams to score | 53% | 47% | +6 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% | 77% | +3 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35% | 35% | 0 |
| Girona II or draw | 83% | 88% | −5 |
| Girona II clean sheet | 39% | – | – |
| Náxara clean sheet | 14% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2021/22No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 this season · since 6 Sept
GIRONA II
NÁXARA
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona B | 7 | +13 | 19 |
| 2 |  Manresa | 8 | +7 | 14 |
| 3 |  Osasuna II | 7 | +6 | 14 |
| 4 |  Terrassa | 7 | +5 | 14 |
| 5 |  Espanyol II | 6 | +11 | 13 |
| 6 |  Ebro | 8 | +3 | 13 |
| 7 |  Olot | 7 | +4 | 12 |
| 8 |  Reddis | 8 | −2 | 11 |
| 9 | Girona II | 7 | +1 | 10 |
| 10 |  Tudelano | 8 | −1 | 9 |
| 11 |  Peña Sport | 8 | −2 | 9 |
| 12 |  UD Logroñés II | 8 | −4 | 9 |
| 13 |  Barbastro | 8 | −1 | 8 |
| 14 |  Utebo | 8 | −1 | 8 |
| 15 | Náxara | 6 | −6 | 5 |
| 16 |  Calamocha | 8 | −12 | 5 |
| 17 |  SD Logroñés | 7 | −8 | 3 |
| 18 |  Arnedo | 8 | −13 | 3 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.