Ebro v Girona II

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Ebro win at 50%.
2. 1′KICK-OFF Ebro v Girona II
3. 2′Little has changed for our model: Ebro 50% before kick-off, 50% now. 0–0 · 50–25–25
4. 7′Girona II score on 7′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 26–23–51
5. 7′⚽ GOAL · 7' Ebro 0–1 Girona II
6. 7′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 7' Ebro win: 50% at kick-off, 26% now
7. 7′THE CALL SWINGS · 7' Girona II win is now our likeliest result at 51% (was Ebro win 26%)
8. 8′We said Ebro at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 26%. 0–1 · 26–23–51
9. 11′6′: G. Badia on the scoresheet for Girona II, making it 0–1. 0–1 · 25–23–52
10. 15′We said Ebro at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–1 · 24–23–52
11. 28′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 28' Ebro win: 50% at kick-off, 20% now
12. 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.9 we expected. 0–1 · 20–25–55
13. 31′We said Ebro at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 19–25–56
14. 45′We said Ebro at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–25–60
15. 45′HALF-TIME Ebro 0–1 Girona II
16. 46′SECOND HALF Ebro 0–1 Girona II
17. 56′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 56' Ebro win: 50% at kick-off, 10% now
18. 58′We said Ebro at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 9–25–66
19. 71′We said Ebro at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–1 · 4–21–75
20. 86′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 86' Ebro win: 50% at kick-off, under 1% now
21. 96′🟥 RED CARD · 90+6' Ebro
22. 97′Ebro are down to ten from 90′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 0–1 · 0–2–98
23. FTFULL TIME Ebro 0–1 Girona II
24. FTEbro 0–1 Girona II · Ebro win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.