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Ebro v Calamocha
Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 · SAT 10 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Ebro win at 61%.
- 3′KICK-OFF Ebro v Calamocha
- 5′Much as we predicted: Ebro was 61% before kick-off and our model makes it 61% now. 0–0 · 61–23–16
- 36′⚽ GOAL · 36' Ebro 1–0 Calamocha
- 45′HALF-TIME Ebro 1–0 Calamocha
- 46′SECOND HALF Ebro 1–0 Calamocha
- 68′⚽ GOAL · 68' Ebro 2–0 Calamocha
- FTFULL TIME Ebro 2–0 Calamocha
- FTEbro 2–0 Calamocha · Ebro win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
Match updates
Recorded match details below.
Timeline
Events will appear when the match starts.
Pre-match prediction
Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15
Match information
SAT 10 OCT · 15:45
The game so far
Recorded statisticsMatch statistics
Match statistics are not available yet.
Players on the pitch
Recorded line-upsLine-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics are not available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Ebro a 61% chance to win. The market has them at 72%. We are 11 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.9–0.8.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 73% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ebro win | 61% | 72% | −11 |
| Draw | 23% | 20% | +3 |
| Calamocha win | 16% | 8% | +8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 44% | +6 |
| Both teams to score | 47% | 32% | +15 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% | 68% | +7 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29% | 24% | +5 |
| Ebro or draw | 84% | 92% | −8 |
| Ebro clean sheet | 45% | – | – |
| Calamocha clean sheet | 16% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
0 meetings since 2021No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.
Form · last six in Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
EBRO
CALAMOCHA
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona B | 5 | +11 | 13 |
| 2 |  Osasuna II | 5 | +6 | 12 |
| 3 |  Olot | 5 | +4 | 10 |
| 4 | Ebro | 5 | +3 | 10 |
| 5 |  Espanyol II | 4 | +10 | 9 |
| 6 |  Manresa | 5 | +6 | 9 |
| 7 |  Girona II | 4 | +2 | 7 |
| 8 |  Tudelano | 5 | +1 | 7 |
| 9 |  Terrassa | 4 | +1 | 7 |
| 10 |  Peña Sport | 5 | −1 | 7 |
| 11 |  Barbastro | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 12 |  Utebo | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 13 |  Reddis | 5 | −4 | 6 |
| 14 |  UD Logroñés II | 5 | −2 | 5 |
| 15 | Calamocha | 5 | −10 | 3 |
| 16 |  SD Logroñés | 5 | −7 | 2 |
| 17 |  Náxara | 4 | −7 | 1 |
| 18 |  Arnedo | 5 | −13 | 0 |
Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.