Home › Football › Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 › Arnedo v Calamocha
Back
Arnedo v Calamocha
ArnedoCalamochaSegunda División RFEF - Group 2 · SAT 24 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Close to call, with Arnedo just ahead.
The Pitchside prediction: Arnedo 39%, draw 26%, Calamocha 35%. Over 2.5 goals 53%, both teams to score 56%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
Arnedo win39%Calamocha win35%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 16:00
RoundGroup 2 · matchday 8
Match timeline
All events
ArnedoMINCalamochaEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Arnedo
Calamocha
Last match: 18 Oct · Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Last match: 18 Oct · Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
The game in numbers
Match statistics
League table
2026/27Positions before kick-off
| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Calamocha | 7 | −12 | 4 |
| 18 | Arnedo | 7 | −13 | 2 |
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Arnedo a 39% chance to win. The market has them at 46%. We are 7 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.4–1.4.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 37%, 39% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 46% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arnedo win | 39% | 46% | −7 |
| Draw | 26% | 28% | −2 |
| Calamocha win | 35% | 26% | +9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 49% | +4 |
| Both teams to score | 56% | 53% | +3 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% | 72% | +5 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31% | 29% | +2 |
| Arnedo or draw | 65% | 74% | −9 |
| Arnedo clean sheet | 27% | – | – |
| Calamocha clean sheet | 25% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 7 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2021/22No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 this season · since 13 Sept
ARNEDO
CALAMOCHA
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona B | 7 | +13 | 19 |
| 2 |  Osasuna II | 7 | +6 | 14 |
| 3 |  Terrassa | 7 | +5 | 14 |
| 4 |  Espanyol II | 6 | +11 | 13 |
| 5 |  Ebro | 7 | +4 | 13 |
| 6 |  Olot | 7 | +4 | 12 |
| 7 |  Manresa | 7 | +6 | 11 |
| 8 |  Girona II | 7 | +1 | 10 |
| 9 |  Reddis | 7 | −2 | 10 |
| 10 |  Tudelano | 7 | −1 | 8 |
| 11 |  Peña Sport | 7 | −2 | 8 |
| 12 |  UD Logroñés II | 7 | −4 | 8 |
| 13 |  Barbastro | 7 | −1 | 7 |
| 14 |  Utebo | 7 | −1 | 7 |
| 15 |  Náxara | 6 | −6 | 5 |
| 16 | Calamocha | 7 | −12 | 4 |
| 17 |  SD Logroñés | 7 | −8 | 3 |
| 18 | Arnedo | 7 | −13 | 2 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.