Portugalete v Eibar II

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Eibar II win at 36%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Eibar II was 36% before kick-off and our model makes it 36% now. 0–0 · 35–28–36
3. 1′KICK-OFF Portugalete v Eibar II
4. 33′THE CALL SWINGS · 33' Draw is now our likeliest result at 37% (was Eibar II win 32%)
5. 45′HALF-TIME Portugalete 0–0 Eibar II
6. 46′SECOND HALF Portugalete 0–0 Eibar II
7. 54′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 54' Eibar II win: 36% at kick-off, 26% now
8. 55′We expected about 2.4 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 26–48–26
9. 59′We said Eibar II at 36%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–52–24
10. 69′A red card for Eibar II on 69′. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 0–0 · 19–62–19
11. 69′🟥 RED CARD · 69' Eibar II
12. 70′We said Eibar II at 36%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 18–63–19
13. 74′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 74' Eibar II win: 36% at kick-off, 16% now
14. 76′We said Eibar II at 36%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 14–71–14
15. 82′We said Eibar II at 36%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 9–82–9
16. 86′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 86' Eibar II win: 36% at kick-off, 6% now
17. 89′We said Eibar II at 36%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 4–91–4
18. FTFULL TIME Portugalete 0–0 Eibar II
19. FTPortugalete 0–0 Eibar II · Eibar II win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.