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Ourense CF v Gimnástica Torrelavega
Ourense CFGimnástica TorrelavegaSegunda División RFEF - Group 1 · SUN 25 OCT · Estadio de O Couto
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Ourense CF are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Ourense CF 54%, draw 25%, Gimnástica Torrelavega 21%. Over 2.5 goals 45%, both teams to score 46%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off
Ourense CF win54%Gimnástica Torrelavega win21%Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 16:00
RoundGroup 1 · matchday 8
VenueEstadio de O Couto
Match timeline
All events
Ourense CFMINGimnástica TorrelavegaEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Ourense CF
Gimnástica Torrelavega
Last match: 17 Oct · Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Last match: 18 Oct · Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
The game in numbers
Match statistics
League table
2026/27Positions before kick-off
| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Ourense CF | 7 | −3 | 10 |
| 18 | Gimnástica Torrelavega | 7 | −8 | 5 |
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Ourense CF a 54% chance to win. The market has them at 59%. We are 5 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.6–0.9.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 59% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ourense CF win | 54% | 59% | −5 |
| Draw | 25% | 25% | 0 |
| Gimnástica Torrelavega win | 21% | 16% | +5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% | 48% | −3 |
| Both teams to score | 46% | 48% | −2 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 70% | 71% | −1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 24% | 28% | −4 |
| Ourense CF or draw | 79% | 84% | −5 |
| Ourense CF clean sheet | 42% | – | – |
| Gimnástica Torrelavega clean sheet | 21% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 7 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
5 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 this season · since 12 Sept
OURENSE CF
GIMNÁSTICA TORRELAVEGA
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sestao River | 8 | +6 | 19 |
| 2 |  Deportivo Alavés II | 8 | +10 | 17 |
| 3 |  Bergantiños | 8 | +9 | 17 |
| 4 |  Eibar II | 8 | +8 | 17 |
| 5 |  Compostela | 8 | +3 | 13 |
| 6 |  Amorebieta | 8 | +2 | 13 |
| 7 |  Portugalete | 7 | 0 | 11 |
| 8 |  Gernika | 8 | +6 | 10 |
| 9 | Ourense CF | 7 | −3 | 10 |
| 10 |  Real Oviedo II | 7 | −4 | 10 |
| 11 |  Basconia | 7 | −1 | 9 |
| 12 |  Coruxo | 8 | −2 | 8 |
| 13 |  Atlético Astorga | 8 | −1 | 7 |
| 14 |  Arosa | 8 | −5 | 7 |
| 15 |  Llanera | 8 | −8 | 7 |
| 16 |  Marino de Luanco | 7 | −5 | 6 |
| 17 |  Racing Santander II | 8 | −7 | 5 |
| 18 | Gimnástica Torrelavega | 7 | −8 | 5 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.