Eibar II v Bergantiños

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Eibar II win at 44%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Eibar II 44% before kick-off, 44% now. 0–0 · 44–27–29
3. 1′KICK-OFF Eibar II v Bergantiños
4. 33′Eibar II find the net on 33′. 1–0. 1–0 · 73–19–8
5. 33′⚽ GOAL · 33' Eibar II 1–0 Bergantiños
6. 33′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 33' Eibar II win: 44% at kick-off, 73% now
7. 34′We said Eibar II at 44% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 73%. 1–0 · 73–19–8
8. 34′The goal count is tracking the 2.6 we expected. 1–0 · 73–19–8
9. 36′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 36' Eibar II win: 44% at kick-off, 74% now
10. 38′Eibar II ahead on 32′ through M. Fuente. 1–0. 1–0 · 74–19–7
11. 42′We said Eibar II at 44% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 1–0 · 75–19–7
12. 45′HALF-TIME Eibar II 1–0 Bergantiños
13. 46′SECOND HALF Eibar II 1–0 Bergantiños
14. 47′A goal for Eibar II on 47′ — 2–0. 2–0 · 94–5–1
15. 47′We said Eibar II at 44% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 94%. 2–0 · 94–5–1
16. 47′⚽ GOAL · 47' Eibar II 2–0 Bergantiños
17. 47′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 47' Eibar II win: 44% at kick-off, 94% now
18. 49′We said Eibar II at 44% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 2–0 · 95–5–1
19. 60′Bergantiños score on 60′ to make it 2–1. 2–1 · 79–17–4
20. 60′3 goals already, more than the 2.6 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 79–17–4
21. 60′⚽ GOAL · 60' Eibar II 2–1 Bergantiños
22. 60′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 60' Eibar II win: 44% at kick-off, 79% now
23. 62′We said Eibar II at 44% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 2–1 · 80–17–3
24. 71′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 71' Eibar II win: 44% at kick-off, 84% now
25. 72′We said Eibar II at 44% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 2–1 · 85–14–2
26. 75′Bergantiños find the net on 75′. 2–2. 2–2 · 18–68–14
27. 75′⚽ GOAL · 75' Eibar II 2–2 Bergantiños
28. 75′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 75' Eibar II win: 44% at kick-off, 18% now
29. 75′THE CALL SWINGS · 75' Draw is now our likeliest result at 68% (was Eibar II win 86%)
30. 76′We said Eibar II at 44%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 17%. 2–2 · 17–70–13
31. 76′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.6 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 17–70–13
32. 79′A goal for Eibar II on 78′ — 3–2. 3–2 · 89–10–1
33. 79′5 goals already, more than the 2.6 we expected for the whole match. 3–2 · 89–10–1
34. 79′⚽ GOAL · 78' Eibar II 3–2 Bergantiños
35. 79′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 79' Eibar II win: 44% at kick-off, 89% now
36. 79′THE CALL SWINGS · 79' Eibar II win is now our likeliest result at 89% (was Draw 73%)
37. 85′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 85' Eibar II win: 44% at kick-off, 94% now
38. FTFULL TIME Eibar II 3–2 Bergantiños
39. FTEibar II 3–2 Bergantiños · Eibar II win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.