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Deportivo Alavés II v Racing Santander II
Deportivo Alavés II
Racing Santander IISegunda División RFEF - Group 1 · SAT 24 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Deportivo Alavés II win at 53%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Deportivo Alavés II 53% before kick-off, 53% now. 0–0 · 53–21–26
- 1′KICK-OFF Deportivo Alavés II v Racing Santander II
- 15′Racing Santander II score on 15′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 28–23–50
- 15′⚽ GOAL · 15' Deportivo Alavés II 0–1 Racing Santander II
- 15′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 15' Deportivo Alavés II win: 53% at kick-off, 28% now
- 15′THE CALL SWINGS · 15' Racing Santander II win is now our likeliest result at 50% (was Deportivo Alavés II win 50%)
- 16′We said Deportivo Alavés II at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 27%. 0–1 · 27–23–50
- 23′14′: M. Solorzano Diestro on the scoresheet for Racing Santander II, making it 0–1. 0–1 · 25–23–51
- 26′We said Deportivo Alavés II at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–1 · 24–24–52
- 29′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 29' Deportivo Alavés II win: 53% at kick-off, 23% now
- 30′The goal count is tracking the 3.5 we expected. 0–1 · 23–24–53
- 36′Deportivo Alavés II find the net on 35′. 1–1. 1–1 · 46–29–25
- 36′⚽ GOAL · 35' Deportivo Alavés II 1–1 Racing Santander II
- 36′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 36' Deportivo Alavés II win: 53% at kick-off, 46% now
- 36′THE CALL SWINGS · 36' Deportivo Alavés II win is now our likeliest result at 46% (was Racing Santander II win 54%)
- 37′A goal for Racing Santander II on 37′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 20–25–55
- 37′⚽ GOAL · 37' Deportivo Alavés II 1–2 Racing Santander II
- 37′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 37' Deportivo Alavés II win: 53% at kick-off, 20% now
- 37′THE CALL SWINGS · 37' Racing Santander II win is now our likeliest result at 55% (was Deportivo Alavés II win 46%)
- 40′We said Deportivo Alavés II at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–2 · 19–25–56
- 45′J. Bita scores for Racing Santander II on 36′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 17–25–57
- 45′HALF-TIME Deportivo Alavés II 1–2 Racing Santander II
- 46′SECOND HALF Deportivo Alavés II 1–2 Racing Santander II
- 52′We said Deportivo Alavés II at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 1–2 · 14–26–60
- 54′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 54' Deportivo Alavés II win: 53% at kick-off, 13% now
- 60′Racing Santander II score on 59′ to make it 1–3. 1–3 · 2–8–89
- 60′We said Deportivo Alavés II at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 2%. 1–3 · 2–8–89
- 60′⚽ GOAL · 59' Deportivo Alavés II 1–3 Racing Santander II
- 60′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 60' Deportivo Alavés II win: 53% at kick-off, 2% now
- 61′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.5 across ninety minutes. 1–3 · 2–8–90
- 85′Deportivo Alavés II find the net on 85′. 2–3. 2–3 · 1–10–89
- 85′⚽ GOAL · 85' Deportivo Alavés II 2–3 Racing Santander II
- 86′5 goals already, more than the 3.5 we expected for the whole match. 2–3 · 1–10–90
- 89′Deportivo Alavés II pull one back on 84′ through H. Martinez. 2–3. 2–3 · 0–7–93
- 93′A goal for Deportivo Alavés II on 90′ — 3–3. 3–3 · 3–94–2
- 93′That is 6, and we only asked for 3.5 across ninety minutes. 3–3 · 3–94–2
- 93′⚽ GOAL · 90+3' Deportivo Alavés II 3–3 Racing Santander II
- 93′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+3' Draw is now our likeliest result at 94% (was Racing Santander II win 96%)
- FTFULL TIME Deportivo Alavés II 3–3 Racing Santander II
- FTDeportivo Alavés II 3–3 Racing Santander II · Deportivo Alavés II win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 2–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Deportivo Alavés II are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Deportivo Alavés II 53%, draw 21%, Racing Santander II 26%. Over 2.5 goals 67%, both teams to score 66%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
Deportivo Alavés II win53%
Racing Santander II win26%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 11:30
RoundGroup 1 · matchday 8
Match timeline
All events
Deportivo Alavés IIMIN
Racing Santander IIEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Deportivo Alavés II
Racing Santander II
Last match: 18 Oct · Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Last match: 17 Oct · Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Deportivo Alavés II a 53% chance to win. The market has them at 64%. We are 11 points less confident than the market. The model expects 2.1–1.4.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 48%, 53% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 64% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Alavés II win | 53% | 64% | −11 |
| Draw | 21% | 21% | 0 |
| Racing Santander II win | 26% | 15% | +11 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 57% | +10 |
| Both teams to score | 66% | 51% | +15 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86% | 79% | +7 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 46% | 37% | +9 |
| Deportivo Alavés II or draw | 74% | 85% | −11 |
| Deportivo Alavés II clean sheet | 25% | – | – |
| Racing Santander II clean sheet | 13% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2021/22No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 this season · since 13 Sept
DEPORTIVO ALAVÉS II
RACING SANTANDER II
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bergantiños | 7 | +10 | 17 |
| 2 | Deportivo Alavés II | 7 | +10 | 16 |
| 3 | Sestao River | 7 | +5 | 16 |
| 4 | Eibar II | 7 | +7 | 14 |
| 5 | Portugalete | 7 | 0 | 11 |
| 6 | Compostela | 7 | +1 | 10 |
| 7 | Amorebieta | 7 | +1 | 10 |
| 8 | Ourense CF | 7 | −3 | 10 |
| 9 | Real Oviedo II | 7 | −4 | 10 |
| 10 | Gernika | 7 | +6 | 9 |
| 11 | Basconia | 7 | −1 | 9 |
| 12 | Coruxo | 7 | −1 | 8 |
| 13 | Arosa | 7 | −4 | 7 |
| 14 | Llanera | 7 | −6 | 7 |
| 15 | Atlético Astorga | 7 | −1 | 6 |
| 16 | Marino de Luanco | 7 | −5 | 6 |
| 17 | Gimnástica Torrelavega | 7 | −8 | 5 |
| 18 | Racing Santander II | 7 | −7 | 4 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Bergantiños
Sestao River
Eibar II
Portugalete
Compostela
Amorebieta
Ourense CF
Real Oviedo II
Gernika
Basconia
Coruxo
Arosa
Llanera
Atlético Astorga
Marino de Luanco
Gimnástica Torrelavega