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Atlético Astorga v Ourense CF

Atlético Astorga
4–0Full time
Ourense CF

Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 18:06
Atlético Astorga 4–0 Ourense CF OURENSE CF WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Ourense CF win41%
The market said42%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.732
The market’s Brier score0.783

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Atlético Astorga win30%
Draw29%
Ourense CF win41%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 15:30

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · ourense cf winPublished 10 Oct 17:01
41% The market42%
Us41%
Market42%

We make Ourense CF a 41% chance to win. The market has them at 42%. We are within 2 points of the market. The model expects 1.0–1.2.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Atlético Astorga win30%28%+2
Draw29%30%−1
Ourense CF win41%42%−2
Over 2.5 goals38%42%−4
Both teams to score44%48%−4
Over 1.5 goals65%67%−2
Over 3.5 goals19%23%−4
Atlético Astorga or draw59%58%+2
Atlético Astorga clean sheet30%––
Ourense CF clean sheet37%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.1%
0123450 11.2 12.9 8.0 3.3 1 10.8 13.1 7.8 3.2 2 5.5 6.5 4.0 3 2.3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Atlético Astorga down, Ourense CF across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in Segunda División RFEF - Group 1

ATLÉTICO ASTORGA

DLLWLL1–1 · 0–1 · 2–3 · 3–0 · 0–2 · 0–1

OURENSE CF

WWWLWD2–0 · 2–1 · 2–0 · 0–2 · 1–0 · 0–0

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Bergantiños5+713
2Eibar II5+712
3Deportivo Alavés II5+612
4Sestao River5+412
5Ourense CF5+210
6Gernika5+78
7Basconia5+18
8Amorebieta5+17
9Portugalete5−17
10Real Oviedo II5−27
11Marino de Luanco5−26
12Coruxo5−15
13Compostela5−34
14Gimnástica Torrelavega5−44
15Llanera5−54
16Atlético Astorga5−23
17Arosa5−73
18Racing Santander II5−81

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.