Real Murcia v Zaragoza

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Real Murcia win at 46%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Real Murcia was 46% before kick-off and our model makes it 46% now. 0–0 · 46–28–26
3. 1′KICK-OFF Real Murcia v Zaragoza
4. 14′🟨 YELLOW · 14' S. Escudero · Zaragoza
5. 44′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 44' Real Murcia win: 46% at kick-off, 36% now
6. 44′THE CALL SWINGS · 44' Draw is now our likeliest result at 41% (was Real Murcia win 36%)
7. 45′🟨 YELLOW · 45' P. Ademo · Zaragoza
8. 45′SECOND HALF Real Murcia 0–0 Zaragoza
9. 46′HALF-TIME Real Murcia 0–0 Zaragoza
10. 49′We said Real Murcia at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–43–22
11. 55′We expected about 2.5 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 32–47–21
12. 57′SUBSTITUTION · 56' Zaragoza · On: M. Sangalli · Off: S. Escudero
13. 60′We said Real Murcia at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–51–19
14. 65′🟨 YELLOW · 64' J. Mier · Real Murcia
15. 65′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 65' Real Murcia win: 46% at kick-off, 26% now
16. 68′We said Real Murcia at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–60–16
17. 69′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Zaragoza · On: A. Herrera · Off: Jamelli
18. 69′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Zaragoza · On: P. Sans · Off: E. D. Espiau Hernandez
19. 69′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Real Murcia · On: A. Bustos · Off: C. Nunez
20. 69′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Real Murcia · On: A. Gimenez · Off: D. Bosilj
21. 73′🟨 YELLOW · 73' A. Herrera · Zaragoza
22. 74′We said Real Murcia at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 19–67–13
23. 78′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Real Murcia · On: V. Olmedo · Off: J. Mier
24. 78′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Real Murcia · On: S. Moyita · Off: Joao Pedro Palmberg
25. 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 78' Real Murcia win: 46% at kick-off, 16% now
26. 79′We said Real Murcia at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 14–75–10
27. 82′🟥 RED CARD · 82' Zaragoza
28. 83′A red card for Zaragoza on 82′. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 0–0 · 10–83–7
29. 83′🟨 YELLOW · 82' P. Ademo · Zaragoza
30. 84′We said Real Murcia at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 9–85–6
31. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Zaragoza · On: Y. Saidu · Off: O. Urena
32. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Zaragoza · On: H. Barrachina · Off: J. Jardi
33. 88′🟨 YELLOW · 87' P. Sans · Zaragoza
34. 88′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 88' Real Murcia win: 46% at kick-off, 6% now
35. 91′We said Real Murcia at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 4–93–3
36. 96′Full time, 0–0. We called Real Murcia at 46% — wrong, and it goes on the record that way. 0–0 · 0–100–0
37. 96′🟨 YELLOW · 90+6' H. Perez · Real Murcia
38. FTFULL TIME Real Murcia 0–0 Zaragoza
39. FTReal Murcia 0–0 Zaragoza · Real Murcia win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.