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Ibiza v Europa Fc

Ibiza

20:00Upcoming

Europa Fc

Primera División RFEF - Group 2 · FRI 30 OCT · Estadi Municipal de Can Misses

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

IbizaDrawEuropa Fc

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 20:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Ibiza 56%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Ibiza are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Ibiza 56%, draw 25%, Europa Fc 20%. Over 2.5 goals 48%, both teams to score 49%.

The AI’s read on Ibiza v Europa FcBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

Ibiza win56%

Draw25%

Europa Fc win20%

Kick-offFRI 30 OCT · 20:00

RoundGroup 2 · matchday 10

VenueEstadi Municipal de Can Misses

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Ibiza

Europa Fc

13Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · Primera División RFEF - Group 2

Last match: 23 Oct · Primera División RFEF - Group 2

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
7	Ibiza	8	+1	13
17	Europa Fc	9	−9	7

In the news

from the pressAll ›

Real Sociedad equal their record European away win at Lillestrøm as Sergio Gómez becomes their top Europa League scorerFootball España · 23 Oct 07:59 · Real Sociedad, Europa Fc

Besiktas 2-2 Crystal Palace: Jean-Philippe Mateta scores in frustrating Europa League drawEvening Standard · 22 Oct 22:16 · Crystal Palace, Europa Fc

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · ibiza winFirst published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

56% The market–

Us56%

We make Ibiza a 56% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–0.9, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Ibiza v Europa Fc~~1.70 – 0.90

~~Form · last six in Primera División RFEF - Group 2 this season · since 12 Sept~~W3 D1 L2 · W2 D0 L4

~~Table places · points 13 v 7~~7 v 17

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Ibiza win	56%	–	–
Draw	25%	–	–
Europa Fc win	20%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	48%	–	–
Both teams to score	49%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	74%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	27%	–	–
Ibiza or draw	80%	–	–
Ibiza clean sheet	41%	–	–
Europa Fc clean sheet	19%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 12.1%

0123450 8.0 6.3 3.0 1 12.1 11.7 5.1 2 10.6 9.5 4.3 3 6.1 5.4 2.5 4 2.6 2.3 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Ibiza down, Europa Fc across0–5 goals a side shown (99.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,981 Primera División RFEF - Group 2 matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Primera División RFEF - Group 2 matches have gone over 2.5 in 49.4% of games this season, across 81 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 3.50 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Ibiza at home: 2.00 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). Europa Fc away: 0.67 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.70 goals for Ibiza, 0.90 for Europa Fc. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~3.50

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~2 of 2

~~Last meetings~~EUR 3–2 IBI · IBI 1–1 EUR

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Primera División RFEF - Group 2 this season · since 12 Sept

IBIZA

WLLWDW2–0 · 1–2 · 0–2 · 1–0 · 1–1 · 2–1

EUROPA FC

LWLWLL1–2 · 1–0 · 1–3 · 2–1 · 0–3 · 0–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Zaragoza	9	+7	20
2	Villarreal II	8	+8	17
3	Real Murcia	9	+3	16
4	FC Cartagena	8	+8	15
5	Real Jaén	8	+4	15
6	Alcorcon	8	+8	13
7	Ibiza	8	+1	13
8	Hércules	8	−1	13
9	Real Madrid II	8	+2	12
10	Huesca	9	0	12
11	Antequera	9	+1	11
12	Gimnastic	8	−1	11
13	Algeciras	8	−2	10
14	Atlético Madrid II	8	+2	9
15	Sant Andreu	9	−2	9
16	Rayo Majadahonda	9	−3	7
17	Europa Fc	9	−9	7
18	Águilas	8	−6	6
19	Juventud Torremolinos	9	−9	6
20	Teruel	8	−11	5