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Gimnastic v Hércules
GimnasticHérculesPrimera División RFEF - Group 2 · SUN 25 OCT · Nou Estadi de Tarragona
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Gimnastic are narrow favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Gimnastic 42%, draw 30%, Hércules 29%. Over 2.5 goals 39%, both teams to score 45%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off
Gimnastic win42%Hércules win29%Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 17:45
RoundGroup 2 · matchday 9
VenueNou Estadi de Tarragona
RefereeA. Rodriguez
Match timeline
All events
GimnasticMINHérculesEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Gimnastic
Hércules
Last match: 18 Oct · Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Last match: 17 Oct · Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
The game in numbers
Match statistics
League table
2026/27Positions before kick-off
| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Hércules | 8 | −1 | 13 |
| 12 | Gimnastic | 8 | −1 | 11 |
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Gimnastic a 42% chance to win. The market has them at 33%. We are 9 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.3–1.0.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 33% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gimnastic win | 42% | 33% | +9 |
| Draw | 30% | 30% | 0 |
| Hércules win | 29% | 37% | −8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 39% | 42% | −3 |
| Both teams to score | 45% | 49% | −4 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 66% | 67% | −1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 19% | 22% | −3 |
| Gimnastic or draw | 71% | 63% | +8 |
| Gimnastic clean sheet | 37% | – | – |
| Hércules clean sheet | 29% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
3 meetings since 2019/20Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Primera División RFEF - Group 2 this season · since 11 Sept
GIMNASTIC
HÉRCULES
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Zaragoza | 9 | +7 | 20 |
| 2 |  Villarreal II | 8 | +8 | 17 |
| 3 |  Real Murcia | 9 | +3 | 16 |
| 4 |  FC Cartagena | 8 | +8 | 15 |
| 5 |  Real Jaén | 8 | +4 | 15 |
| 6 |  Alcorcon | 8 | +8 | 13 |
| 7 |  Ibiza | 8 | +1 | 13 |
| 8 | Hércules | 8 | −1 | 13 |
| 9 |  Real Madrid II | 8 | +2 | 12 |
| 10 |  Huesca | 9 | 0 | 12 |
| 11 |  Antequera | 9 | +1 | 11 |
| 12 | Gimnastic | 8 | −1 | 11 |
| 13 |  Algeciras | 8 | −2 | 10 |
| 14 |  Atlético Madrid II | 8 | +2 | 9 |
| 15 |  Sant Andreu | 9 | −2 | 9 |
| 16 |  Rayo Majadahonda | 9 | −3 | 7 |
| 17 |  Europa Fc | 9 | −9 | 7 |
| 18 |  Águilas | 8 | −6 | 6 |
| 19 |  Juventud Torremolinos | 9 | −9 | 6 |
| 20 |  Teruel | 8 | −11 | 5 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.