Zamora v Ponferradina

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Zamora win at 40%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Zamora 40% before kick-off, 40% now. 0–0 · 40–31–29
3. 1′KICK-OFF Zamora v Ponferradina
4. 22′🟨 YELLOW · 21' A. Gorjon · Zamora
5. 30′THE CALL SWINGS · 30' Draw is now our likeliest result at 39% (was Zamora win 34%)
6. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Zamora win: 40% at kick-off, 30% now
7. 45′HALF-TIME Zamora 0–0 Ponferradina
8. 45′SECOND HALF Zamora 0–0 Ponferradina
9. 50′We said Zamora at 40% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 78%. 1–0 · 78–18–4
10. 50′The goal count is tracking the 2.0 we expected. 1–0 · 78–18–4
11. 50′⚽ GOAL · 50' Zamora 1–0 Ponferradina
12. 50′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 50' Zamora win: 40% at kick-off, 78% now
13. 50′THE CALL SWINGS · 50' Zamora win is now our likeliest result at 78% (was Draw 18%)
14. 51′Zamora ahead on 50′ through J. Carbonell. 1–0. 1–0 · 78–18–4
15. 57′We said Zamora at 40% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 1–0 · 80–17–3
16. 57′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 57' Zamora win: 40% at kick-off, 80% now
17. 59′🟨 YELLOW · 58' C. Ramos · Zamora
18. 62′🟨 YELLOW · 61' P. Munoz · Ponferradina
19. 63′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Zamora · On: M. Costa · Off: A. Hidalgo
20. 63′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Ponferradina · On: Slavy · Off: O. Vacas
21. 69′We said Zamora at 40% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 1–0 · 85–14–2
22. 72′We said Zamora at 40%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 17%. 1–1 · 17–69–14
23. 72′⚽ GOAL · 72' Zamora 1–1 Ponferradina
24. 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 72' Zamora win: 40% at kick-off, 17% now
25. 72′THE CALL SWINGS · 72' Draw is now our likeliest result at 69% (was Zamora win 17%)
26. 73′Slavy scores for Ponferradina on 73′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 16–71–13
27. 75′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Ponferradina · On: C. Calderon · Off: E. Hernandez
28. 75′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Ponferradina · On: S. Nieto · Off: A. Roig
29. 76′We said Zamora at 40%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 14–75–11
30. 80′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Zamora · On: G. Rodriguez · Off: D. Moreno
31. 80′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Zamora · On: I. Navarro · Off: C. Ramos
32. 80′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Zamora · On: P. Mascaro · Off: F. Urzain
33. 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 81' Zamora win: 40% at kick-off, 10% now
34. 82′We said Zamora at 40%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–84–7
35. 82′🟨 YELLOW · 81' F. San Emeterio · Ponferradina
36. 87′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Ponferradina · On: N. Tounkara · Off: J. de Leon
37. 87′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Ponferradina · On: J. Chibozo · Off: P. Munoz
38. 89′We said Zamora at 40%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–92–3
39. 89′🟨 YELLOW · 89' E. Verges · Zamora
40. 90′SUBSTITUTION · 89' Zamora · On: M. Losada · Off: I. Indias
41. 93′🟨 YELLOW · 90+2' A. Jelbat · Ponferradina
42. 97′1–1 at the end. Our 40% on Zamora misses, and the record keeps it. 1–1 · 0–100–0
43. FTFULL TIME Zamora 1–1 Ponferradina
44. FTZamora 1–1 Ponferradina · Zamora win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.