UD Logroñés v Mirandes prediction · Primera División RFEF

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

UD LogroñésDrawMirandes

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 15:30

Before kick-off · Match result · UD Logroñés 51%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

UD Logroñés are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: UD Logroñés 51%, draw 25%, Mirandes 24%. Over 2.5 goals 52%, both teams to score 53%.

The AI’s read on UD Logroñés v MirandesBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

UD Logroñés win51%

Draw25%

Mirandes win24%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 15:30

RoundGroup 1 · matchday 10

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

UD Logroñés

Mirandes

7Days since last match7

Last match: 24 Oct · Primera División RFEF - Group 1

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	UD Logroñés	9	+8	20
5	Mirandes	9	+2	14

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · ud logroñés winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

51% The market–

Us51%

We make UD Logroñés a 51% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–1.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · UD Logroñés v Mirandes~~1.69 – 1.08

~~Form · last six in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 this season · since 18 Sept~~W3 D2 L1 · W2 D2 L2

~~Table places · points 20 v 14~~2 v 5

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
UD Logroñés win	51%	–	–
Draw	25%	–	–
Mirandes win	24%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	52%	–	–
Both teams to score	53%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	76%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	30%	–	–
UD Logroñés or draw	76%	–	–
UD Logroñés clean sheet	34%	–	–
Mirandes clean sheet	19%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.6%

0123450 7.0 6.6 3.7 1 10.3 11.6 6.1 2.2 2 8.9 9.3 5.0 3 5.0 5.3 2.9 4 2.2 2.3 5

under 2% 5% 12%+UD Logroñés down, Mirandes across0–5 goals a side shown (99.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,970 Primera División RFEF - Group 1 matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Primera División RFEF - Group 1 matches have gone over 2.5 in 46.1% of games this season, across 89 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2021/22.

Home and away form

UD Logroñés at home: 1.83 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). Mirandes away: 1.20 scored, 1.80 conceded (last 5).

What the model expects

1.69 goals for UD Logroñés, 1.08 for Mirandes. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 this season · since 18 Sept

UD LOGROÑÉS

DWWLDW1–1 · 5–3 · 2–1 · 1–3 · 1–1 · 3–1

MIRANDES

DWLDLW2–2 · 1–0 · 0–1 · 1–1 · 0–2 · 2–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Lugo	9	+8	22
2	UD Logroñés	9	+8	20
3	Racing Ferrol	9	+2	16
4	Cacereño	9	+3	15
5	Mirandes	9	+2	14
6	Pontevedra	9	+1	14
7	Extremadura 1924	9	+6	13
8	Real Unión	9	+5	13
9	Ponferradina	9	0	13
10	Mérida AD	8	+3	12
11	Athletic Club II	9	+2	12
12	Zamora	9	+1	12
13	Cultural Leonesa	9	+1	12
14	Real Avilés	9	+2	11
15	Barakaldo	9	−2	10
16	Unionistas de Salamanca	9	−3	10
17	CD Coria	8	−4	8
18	Deportivo La Coruña II	9	−8	8
19	UD Ourense	9	−12	5
20	Arenas Getxo	9	−15	5