Real Avilés v UD Ourense

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Real Avilés win at 49%.
2. 0′KICK-OFF Real Avilés v UD Ourense
3. 4′Little has changed for our model: Real Avilés 49% before kick-off, 48% now. 0–0 · 48–26–26
4. 14′We said Real Avilés at 49%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 23%. 0–1 · 23–24–53
5. 14′⚽ GOAL · 14' Real Avilés 0–1 UD Ourense
6. 14′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 14' Real Avilés win: 49% at kick-off, 23% now
7. 14′THE CALL SWINGS · 14' UD Ourense win is now our likeliest result at 53% (was Real Avilés win 23%)
8. 17′GOAL DISALLOWED · 17' UD Ourense
9. 17′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 17' Real Avilés win: 49% at kick-off, 46% now
10. 17′THE CALL SWINGS · 17' Real Avilés win is now our likeliest result at 46% (was UD Ourense win 26%)
11. 31′We said Real Avilés at 49% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 1–0 · 75–17–8
12. 31′The goal count is tracking the 2.8 we expected. 1–0 · 75–17–8
13. 31′⚽ GOAL · 31' Real Avilés 1–0 UD Ourense
14. 31′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 31' Real Avilés win: 49% at kick-off, 75% now
15. 32′C. Montes scores for Real Avilés on 31′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 75–17–7
16. 46′🟨 YELLOW · 45+2' A. Bastida · UD Ourense
17. 46′SECOND HALF Real Avilés 1–0 UD Ourense
18. 47′SUBSTITUTION · 46' UD Ourense · On: N. Gonzalez · Off: M. Gandarillas
19. 48′HALF-TIME Real Avilés 1–0 UD Ourense
20. 51′🟨 YELLOW · 50' Neskes · Real Avilés
21. 55′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 55' Real Avilés win: 49% at kick-off, 79% now
22. 58′SUBSTITUTION · 58' Real Avilés · On: I. Munoz · Off: A. Carmona
23. 58′SUBSTITUTION · 58' Real Avilés · On: P. Doncel · Off: Neskes
24. 60′We said Real Avilés at 49% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 1–0 · 80–17–4
25. 72′We said Real Avilés at 49% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 1–0 · 85–13–2
26. 73′We said Real Avilés at 49% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 98%. 2–0 · 98–1–0
27. 73′⚽ GOAL · 73' Real Avilés 2–0 UD Ourense
28. 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 73' Real Avilés win: 49% at kick-off, 98% now
29. 73′SUBSTITUTION · 72' UD Ourense · On: X. Dominguez · Off: D. Ferreiro
30. 74′73′: A. Santamaria on the scoresheet for Real Avilés, making it 2–0. 2–0 · 99–1–0
31. 74′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 74' Real Avilés win: 49% at kick-off, 99% now
32. 78′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Real Avilés · On: J. Mahicas · Off: A. Santamaria
33. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 79' UD Ourense · On: R. Jansonas · Off: L. Puime
34. 81′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Real Avilés · On: N. Poquet · Off: B. Cayarga
35. 81′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Real Avilés · On: D. Liduena Alonso · Off: C. Montes
36. 83′We said Real Avilés at 49% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 2–0 · 100–0–0
37. 84′3 goals already, more than the 2.8 we expected for the whole match. 3–0 · 100–0–0
38. 84′⚽ GOAL · 84' Real Avilés 3–0 UD Ourense
39. 87′Real Avilés ahead on 85′ through N. Poquet. 3–0. 3–0 · 100–0–0
40. 88′SUBSTITUTION · 88' UD Ourense · On: Varo · Off: J. Cabrera
41. 89′SUBSTITUTION · 88' UD Ourense · On: Rivelott Curro · Off: Champi
42. 89′🟨 YELLOW · 89' S. Pardo · UD Ourense
43. 95′3–0 at the end. Our 49% on Real Avilés comes in. 3–0 · 100–0–0
44. FTFULL TIME Real Avilés 3–0 UD Ourense
45. FTReal Avilés 3–0 UD Ourense · Real Avilés win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.