Ponferradina v Barakaldo

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Ponferradina win at 45%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Ponferradina was 45% before kick-off and our model makes it 45% now. 0–0 · 45–30–25
3. 1′KICK-OFF Ponferradina v Barakaldo
4. 3′🟨 YELLOW · 1' Q. Bari · Ponferradina
5. 4′🟨 YELLOW · 4' B. Gomez · Barakaldo
6. 27′🟨 YELLOW · 26' I. Jimenez · Barakaldo
7. 34′SUBSTITUTION · 34' Barakaldo · On: J. Huidobro · Off: I. Jimenez
8. 39′THE CALL SWINGS · 39' Draw is now our likeliest result at 42% (was Ponferradina win 39%)
9. 42′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 42' Ponferradina win: 45% at kick-off, 35% now
10. 45′HALF-TIME Ponferradina 0–0 Barakaldo
11. 46′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Barakaldo · On: J. Cabo · Off: U. Collado
12. 46′SECOND HALF Ponferradina 0–0 Barakaldo
13. 47′We said Ponferradina at 45%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 33%. 0–0 · 33–46–20
14. 53′🟨 YELLOW · 51' F. San Emeterio · Ponferradina
15. 56′We said Ponferradina at 45%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–52–18
16. 58′🟨 YELLOW · 57' P. Munoz · Ponferradina
17. 61′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Ponferradina · On: O. Vacas · Off: Q. Bari
18. 63′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 63' Ponferradina win: 45% at kick-off, 25% now
19. 65′We said Ponferradina at 45%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–60–15
20. 72′We said Ponferradina at 45%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 19–68–12
21. 73′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Ponferradina · On: C. Calderon · Off: E. Hernandez
22. 74′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Ponferradina · On: S. Faye · Off: Slavy
23. 77′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 77' Ponferradina win: 45% at kick-off, 15% now
24. 78′We said Ponferradina at 45%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 14–77–9
25. 80′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Barakaldo · On: Okolo · Off: C. Mattheus
26. 80′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Barakaldo · On: M. Ruiz · Off: A. Pena
27. 83′We said Ponferradina at 45%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 9–85–6
28. 84′🟨 YELLOW · 84' J. Huidobro · Barakaldo
29. 88′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 88' Ponferradina win: 45% at kick-off, 5% now
30. 89′SUBSTITUTION · 88' Ponferradina · On: S. Nieto · Off: J. de Leon
31. 89′SUBSTITUTION · 88' Ponferradina · On: U. Sabroso · Off: A. Roig
32. 90′We said Ponferradina at 45%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 4–93–3
33. 91′🟨 YELLOW · 90+1' M. Nafti · Ponferradina
34. 93′SUBSTITUTION · 90+3' Barakaldo · On: A. Sustatxa · Off: A. Zoilo Corrected
35. 96′🟨 YELLOW · 90+5' E. Undabarrena · Ponferradina
36. FTFULL TIME Ponferradina 0–0 Barakaldo
37. FTPonferradina 0–0 Barakaldo · Ponferradina win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.