Extremadura 1924 v Real Unión

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Extremadura 1924 win at 50%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Extremadura 1924 50% before kick-off, 50% now. 0–0 · 50–25–25
3. 1′KICK-OFF Extremadura 1924 v Real Unión
4. 28′Real Unión ahead on 28′ through A. Galarza. 0–1. 0–1 · 19–25–56
5. 28′We said Extremadura 1924 at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 19–25–56
6. 28′⚽ GOAL · 28' Extremadura 1924 0–1 Real Unión · A. Galarza
7. 28′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 28' Extremadura 1924 win: 50% at kick-off, 19% now
8. 28′THE CALL SWINGS · 28' Real Unión win is now our likeliest result at 56% (was Extremadura 1924 win 19%)
9. 31′The goal count is tracking the 2.8 we expected. 0–1 · 18–25–56
10. 42′We said Extremadura 1924 at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–26–60
11. 45′E. Azkune scores for Real Unión on 45′ — 0–2. 0–2 · 3–10–87
12. 45′We said Extremadura 1924 at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 3%. 0–2 · 3–10–87
13. 45′⚽ GOAL · 45' Extremadura 1924 0–2 Real Unión · E. Azkune
14. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Extremadura 1924 win: 50% at kick-off, 3% now
15. 45′HALF-TIME Extremadura 1924 0–2 Real Unión
16. 46′SECOND HALF Extremadura 1924 0–2 Real Unión
17. 47′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Extremadura 1924 · On: M. Nordin · Off: Y. Ballesteros
18. 47′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Extremadura 1924 · On: Dieguito · Off: Kike
19. 47′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Real Unión · On: J. de la Mata · Off: B. Gaubeka
20. 54′PENALTY MISSED · 53' U. Garcia · Real Unión
21. 55′🟨 YELLOW · 54' U. Garcia · Real Unión
22. 57′🟨 YELLOW · 57' I. Bekhoucha · Extremadura 1924
23. 63′🟨 YELLOW · 62' M. Nordin · Extremadura 1924
24. 66′65′: D. Espejo on the scoresheet for Extremadura 1924, making it 1–2. 1–2 · 6–22–72
25. 66′⚽ GOAL · 65' Extremadura 1924 1–2 Real Unión · D. Espejo (assist M. Nordin)
26. 66′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Extremadura 1924 · On: L. Morcillo · Off: I. Bekhoucha
27. 67′We said Extremadura 1924 at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 5%. 1–2 · 5–22–73
28. 68′3 goals already, more than the 2.8 we expected for the whole match. 1–2 · 5–22–73
29. 69′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Real Unión · On: M. Arruti · Off: A. Martin
30. 71′🟨 YELLOW · 71' A. Mateo · Real Unión
31. 76′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Extremadura 1924 · On: A. Gothler · Off: I. Burgos
32. 77′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Real Unión · On: U. Albizua · Off: A. Mateo
33. 77′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Real Unión · On: P. Alvarez · Off: U. Garcia
34. 79′🟨 YELLOW · 79' A. Galarza · Real Unión
35. 80′Extremadura 1924 level it on 80′ through A. Gothler. 2–2. 2–2 · 15–75–10
36. 80′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.8 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 15–75–10
37. 80′⚽ GOAL · 80' Extremadura 1924 2–2 Real Unión · A. Gothler
38. 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 80' Extremadura 1924 win: 50% at kick-off, 15% now
39. 80′THE CALL SWINGS · 80' Draw is now our likeliest result at 75% (was Real Unión win 10%)
40. 83′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Real Unión · On: M. Hussaini Muhammad · Off: E. Azkune
41. 84′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 84' Extremadura 1924 win: 50% at kick-off, 10% now
42. 97′L. Morcillo scores for Extremadura 1924 on 90′ — 3–2. 3–2 · 99–1–0
43. 97′We said Extremadura 1924 at 50% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 99%. 3–2 · 99–1–0
44. 97′⚽ GOAL · 90+6' Extremadura 1924 3–2 Real Unión · L. Morcillo
45. 97′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+7' Extremadura 1924 win: 50% at kick-off, 99% now
46. 97′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+7' Extremadura 1924 win is now our likeliest result at 99% (was Draw 1%)
47. 98′5 goals already, more than the 2.8 we expected for the whole match. 3–2 · 99–1–0
48. 100′GOAL DISALLOWED · 90+6' L. Morcillo · Extremadura 1924
49. 101′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+11' Extremadura 1924 win: 50% at kick-off, 2% now
50. 101′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+11' Draw is now our likeliest result at 97% (was Extremadura 1924 win 2%)
51. FTFULL TIME Extremadura 1924 2–2 Real Unión
52. FTExtremadura 1924 2–2 Real Unión · Extremadura 1924 win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.