CD Coria v Athletic Club II

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said CD Coria win at 42%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: CD Coria was 42% before kick-off and our model makes it 42% now. 0–0 · 42–27–31
3. 1′KICK-OFF CD Coria v Athletic Club II
4. 29′28′: E. Lete on the scoresheet for Athletic Club II, making it 0–1. 0–1 · 14–23–62
5. 29′We said CD Coria at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–23–62
6. 29′⚽ GOAL · 28' CD Coria 0–1 Athletic Club II · E. Lete
7. 29′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 29' CD Coria win: 42% at kick-off, 14% now
8. 29′THE CALL SWINGS · 29' Athletic Club II win is now our likeliest result at 62% (was CD Coria win 14%)
9. 30′Goals are coming at about the 2.6 we expected. 0–1 · 14–23–63
10. 37′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 37' CD Coria win: 42% at kick-off, 12% now
11. 45′HALF-TIME CD Coria 0–1 Athletic Club II
12. 46′SECOND HALF CD Coria 0–1 Athletic Club II
13. 48′We said CD Coria at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 9–23–67
14. 48′CD Coria level it on 47′ through A. Lopez-Vadillo. 1–1. 1–1 · 33–42–26
15. 48′⚽ GOAL · 47' CD Coria 1–1 Athletic Club II · A. Lopez-Vadillo
16. 48′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 48' CD Coria win: 42% at kick-off, 33% now
17. 48′THE CALL SWINGS · 48' Draw is now our likeliest result at 42% (was Athletic Club II win 26%)
18. 54′We said CD Coria at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 30%. 1–1 · 30–46–24
19. 56′We said CD Coria at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–47–24
20. 59′🟨 YELLOW · 55' S. Gomez · CD Coria
21. 59′🟨 YELLOW · 59' A. Conde · Athletic Club II
22. 61′SUBSTITUTION · 61' CD Coria · On: I. Ramos · Off: B. Nunez
23. 64′A. Lopez-Vadillo scores for CD Coria on 63′ — 2–1. 2–1 · 79–17–3
24. 64′We published CD Coria at 42%. Our model now makes it 79%. 2–1 · 79–17–3
25. 64′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.6 across ninety minutes. 2–1 · 79–17–3
26. 64′⚽ GOAL · 63' CD Coria 2–1 Athletic Club II · A. Lopez-Vadillo
27. 64′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 64' CD Coria win: 42% at kick-off, 79% now
28. 64′THE CALL SWINGS · 64' CD Coria win is now our likeliest result at 79% (was Draw 17%)
29. 65′We published CD Coria at 42%. Our model now makes it 80%. 2–1 · 80–17–3
30. 66′🟨 YELLOW · 65' P. Palacin · CD Coria
31. 67′SUBSTITUTION · 66' CD Coria · On: A. Moreno · Off: J. Gallastegi
32. 67′SUBSTITUTION · 66' CD Coria · On: J. Tapia · Off: S. Gomez
33. 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 69' CD Coria win: 42% at kick-off, 82% now
34. 70′🟨 YELLOW · 69' A. Blanco · CD Coria
35. 71′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Athletic Club II · On: D. Perez · Off: J. Sola
36. 71′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Athletic Club II · On: B. Garcia · Off: P. Huestamendia
37. 72′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Athletic Club II · On: S. Sanchez · Off: D. Belategi
38. 74′We published CD Coria at 42%. Our model now makes it 85%. 2–1 · 85–14–2
39. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 78' CD Coria · On: J. Calleja · Off: P. Palacin
40. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 78' CD Coria · On: D. Morcillo · Off: A. Lopez-Vadillo
41. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Athletic Club II · On: I. Oyono · Off: A. Perez
42. 81′We published CD Coria at 42%. Our model now makes it 90%. 2–1 · 90–9–1
43. 81′🟨 YELLOW · 80' Trapero · CD Coria
44. 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 83' CD Coria win: 42% at kick-off, 92% now
45. 85′🟨 YELLOW · 85' E. Lete · Athletic Club II
46. 87′We published CD Coria at 42%. Our model now makes it 95%. 2–1 · 95–5–0
47. 92′SUBSTITUTION · 90+2' Athletic Club II · On: E. Korkut · Off: A. Conde
48. 94′🟨 YELLOW · 90+3' A. Moreno · CD Coria
49. FTFULL TIME CD Coria 2–1 Athletic Club II
50. FTCD Coria 2–1 Athletic Club II · CD Coria win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.