Cacereño v Zamora

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Cacereño win at 38%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Cacereño was 38% before kick-off and our model makes it 38% now. 0–0 · 38–30–32
3. 1′KICK-OFF Cacereño v Zamora
4. 31′THE CALL SWINGS · 31' Draw is now our likeliest result at 38% (was Cacereño win 35%)
5. 37′🟨 YELLOW · 36' A. Monerris · Cacereño
6. 45′SECOND HALF Cacereño 0–0 Zamora
7. 46′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Zamora · On: F. Urzain · Off: J. Carbonell
8. 48′HALF-TIME Cacereño 0–0 Zamora
9. 49′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 49' Cacereño win: 38% at kick-off, 28% now
10. 55′We said Cacereño at 38%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 26%. 0–0 · 26–51–23
11. 55′🟨 YELLOW · 54' A. Hidalgo · Zamora
12. 60′We said Cacereño at 38%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–55–21
13. 61′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Cacereño · On: Runy · Off: S. Navarro
14. 61′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Cacereño · On: T. Calvo · Off: I. Tellechea
15. 63′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Zamora · On: E. Gomez · Off: A. Hidalgo
16. 63′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Zamora · On: I. Navarro · Off: M. Costa
17. 67′🟨 YELLOW · 66' U. Dufur · Zamora
18. 69′We said Cacereño at 38%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 19–64–17
19. 70′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 70' Cacereño win: 38% at kick-off, 18% now
20. 70′🟨 YELLOW · 70' T. Calvo · Cacereño
21. 72′We published Cacereño at 38%. Our model now makes it 85%. 1–0 · 85–14–2
22. 72′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Cacereño · On: I. Fernandez · Off: O. Chit
23. 72′⚽ GOAL · 72' Cacereño 1–0 Zamora
24. 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 72' Cacereño win: 38% at kick-off, 85% now
25. 72′THE CALL SWINGS · 72' Cacereño win is now our likeliest result at 85% (was Draw 66%)
26. 73′Cacereño ahead on 72′ through A. Monerris. 1–0. 1–0 · 86–13–1
27. 77′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 77' Cacereño win: 38% at kick-off, 88% now
28. 78′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Zamora · On: E. Verges · Off: C. Ramos
29. 79′We published Cacereño at 38%. Our model now makes it 90%. 1–0 · 90–10–1
30. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Cacereño · On: V. Rodriguez · Off: J. Alonso
31. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Cacereño · On: J. Gonzalez · Off: A. Monerris
32. 84′🟨 YELLOW · 83' A. Exposito · Cacereño
33. 87′We published Cacereño at 38%. Our model now makes it 95%. 1–0 · 95–5–0
34. 89′🟨 YELLOW · 86' J. Gonzalez · Cacereño
35. 92′🟨 YELLOW · 90+2' I. Navarro · Zamora
36. 92′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+2' Cacereño win: 38% at kick-off, 98% now
37. 93′🟥 RED CARD · 90+3' Zamora
38. 94′A red card for Zamora on 90′. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 1–0 · 99–1–0
39. 94′🟨 YELLOW · 90+3' I. Navarro · Zamora
40. 96′Full time, 1–0. We called Cacereño at 38% — that one lands. 1–0 · 100–0–0
41. FTFULL TIME Cacereño 1–0 Zamora
42. FTCacereño 1–0 Zamora · Cacereño win: right · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.