Home › Football › Primera División RFEF - Group 1 › Cacereño v Unionistas de Salamanca

Cacereño v Unionistas de Salamanca

Cacereño

1–1Full time

Unionistas de Salamanca

Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · SAT 10 OCT · Estadio Principe Felipe

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 20:31

Cacereño 1–1 Unionistas de Salamanca CACEREÑO WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · RIGHT

~~We said Cacereño win~~43%

~~The market said~~48%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.788

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.810

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay1 note · 19 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Cacereño win at 43%.
1′KICK-OFF Cacereño v Unionistas de Salamanca
2′Little has changed for our model: Cacereño 43% before kick-off, 43% now. 0–0 · 43–28–29
30′⚽ GOAL · 29' Cacereño 1–0 Unionistas de Salamanca · O. Chit
45′🟨 YELLOW · 44' A. Exposito · Cacereño
45′⚽ GOAL · 46' Cacereño 1–1 Unionistas de Salamanca · A. Casas
45′HALF-TIME Cacereño 1–1 Unionistas de Salamanca
45′⚽ GOAL · 29' Cacereño 1–1 Unionistas de Salamanca · O. Chit (assist T. Calvo)
45′⚽ GOAL · 46' Cacereño 1–1 Unionistas de Salamanca · A. Casas (assist Luis Alcalde)
46′SECOND HALF Cacereño 1–1 Unionistas de Salamanca
57′PENALTY MISSED · 56' I. Tellechea · Cacereño
64′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Cacereño · On: S. Navarro · Off: I. Tellechea
66′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Unionistas de Salamanca · On: A. Saidi · Off: Retu
71′🟨 YELLOW · 70' A. Casas · Unionistas de Salamanca
72′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Cacereño · On: Runy · Off: A. Monerris
73′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Cacereño · On: J. Artola · Off: T. Calvo
74′🟨 YELLOW · 73' I. Martinez Munoz · Cacereño
78′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Unionistas de Salamanca · On: C. Mutilva · Off: Luis Alcalde
89′🟨 YELLOW · 88' O. Chit · Cacereño
89′SUBSTITUTION · 89' Cacereño · On: I. Fernandez · Off: O. Chit
FTFULL TIME Cacereño 1–1 Unionistas de Salamanca
FTCacereño 1–1 Unionistas de Salamanca · Cacereño win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Cacereño win43%

Draw28%

Unionistas de Salamanca win29%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 17:45

Venue · Estadio Principe Felipe

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Cacereño

Formation not confirmed

1 D. Nieves

17 S. Lopez

2 I. Martinez Munoz

3 M. Molina

22 A. Exposito

8 A. Gete

6 N. Conesa

11 A. Monerris

5 T. Calvo

20 I. Tellechea

9 O. Chit

Coach · Julio Cobos

Substitutes

13 · G. Garcia

14 · J. Alonso

4 · P. Barea

10 · Runy

23 · J. Gonzalez

16 · S. Navarro

18 · J. Artola

7 · I. Fernandez

21 · L. Sanchez

24 · U. Cabrera

Unionistas de Salamanca

Formation not confirmed

1 A. Daza

2 D. Morer

3 M. Serrano

16 G. Rivera

21 Retu

5 Luis Alcalde

14 A. Marcelo

20 A. Casas

7 H. de Bustos

10 C. de la Nava

11 A. Gomez

Coach · Javier Medina

Substitutes

13 · Emilio

4 · R. Mayor

19 · C. Mutilva

17 · A. Saidi

30 · I. O. Hernando

24 · G. Pastor

22 · W. Chatiliez

31 · L. L. Prados

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Cacereño

Formation not confirmed

1 D. Nieves

17 S. Lopez

2 I. Martinez Munoz

3 M. Molina

22 A. Exposito

8 A. Gete

6 N. Conesa

11 A. Monerris

5 T. Calvo

20 I. Tellechea

9 O. Chit

Coach · Julio Cobos

Substitutes

13 · G. Garcia

14 · J. Alonso

4 · P. Barea

10 · Runy

23 · J. Gonzalez

16 · S. Navarro

18 · J. Artola

7 · I. Fernandez

21 · L. Sanchez

24 · U. Cabrera

Unionistas de Salamanca

Formation not confirmed

1 A. Daza

2 D. Morer

3 M. Serrano

16 G. Rivera

21 Retu

5 Luis Alcalde

14 A. Marcelo

20 A. Casas

7 H. de Bustos

10 C. de la Nava

11 A. Gomez

Coach · Javier Medina

Substitutes

13 · Emilio

4 · R. Mayor

19 · C. Mutilva

17 · A. Saidi

30 · I. O. Hernando

24 · G. Pastor

22 · W. Chatiliez

31 · L. L. Prados

Our number · cacereño winPublished 10 Oct 17:54

43% The market48%

Us43%

~~Market~~48%

We make Cacereño a 43% chance to win. The market has them at 48%. We are 5 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.4–1.1.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Cacereño win	43%	48%	−5
Draw	28%	28%	0
Unionistas de Salamanca win	29%	25%	+4
Over 2.5 goals	43%	49%	−5
Both teams to score	48%	53%	−4
Over 1.5 goals	70%	72%	−3
Over 3.5 goals	22%	29%	−7
Cacereño or draw	71%	75%	−4
Cacereño clean sheet	35%	–	–
Unionistas de Salamanca clean sheet	26%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.1%

0123450 9.6 9.2 5.1 1 11.8 13.1 6.7 2.4 2 8.2 8.5 4.5 3 3.7 3.9 2.0 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Cacereño down, Unionistas de Salamanca across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,941 Primera División RFEF - Group 1 matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Primera División RFEF - Group 1 matches have gone over 2.5 in 45.0% of games this season, across 60 played.

Head to head

2 previous meetings, 5.00 goals a meeting; 2 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Cacereño at home: 1.83 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). Unionistas de Salamanca away: 1.00 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.35 goals for Cacereño, 1.06 for Unionistas de Salamanca. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025

~~Goals a meeting~~5.00

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 2

~~Both scored~~2 of 2

~~Last meetings~~CAC 3–3 UNI · UNI 2–2 CAC

Form · last six in Primera División RFEF - Group 1

CACEREÑO

WDWWDL1–0 · 1–1 · 1–0 · 3–0 · 0–0 · 0–2

UNIONISTAS DE SALAMANCA

LLLWLW1–3 · 2–4 · 1–3 · 3–1 · 0–1 · 2–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	UD Logroñés	6	+8	16
2	Lugo	6	+6	16
3	Athletic Club II	6	+4	11
4	Cacereño	6	+3	11
5	Ponferradina	6	+2	11
6	Mirandes	6	+2	10
7	Zamora	6	+2	10
8	Racing Ferrol	6	+2	10
9	Real Unión	6	+2	8
10	Deportivo La Coruña II	6	+1	8
11	Pontevedra	6	0	8
12	Cultural Leonesa	6	−1	8
13	Extremadura 1924	6	−1	6
14	Mérida AD	6	−2	6
15	Unionistas de Salamanca	6	−3	6
16	Barakaldo	6	−3	6
17	Real Avilés	6	−1	5
18	CD Coria	6	−3	5
19	UD Ourense	6	−8	2
20	Arenas Getxo	6	−10	2