Valencia W v Eibar W prediction · Primera División Femenina

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Valencia WDrawEibar W

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 11:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Valencia W 37%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Valencia W just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Valencia W 37%, draw 30%, Eibar W 33%. Over 2.5 goals 32%, both teams to score 38%.

The AI’s read on Valencia W v Eibar WBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Valencia W win37%

Draw30%

Eibar W win33%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 11:00

RoundMatchday 9

VenueEstadio Antonio Puchades

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Valencia W

Eibar W

8Days since last match13

Last match: 23 Oct · Primera División Femenina

Last match: 18 Oct · Primera División Femenina

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
6	Eibar W	7	−1	11
16	Valencia W	8	−14	0

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · valencia w winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

37% The market–

Us37%

We make Valencia W a 37% chance to win. The model expects 1.0–1.0, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Valencia W v Eibar W~~1.02 – 0.96

~~Form · last six in Primera División Femenina this season · since 6 Sept~~W0 D0 L6 · W2 D2 L2

~~Table places · points 0 v 11~~16 v 6

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Valencia W win	37%	–	–
Draw	30%	–	–
Eibar W win	33%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	32%	–	–
Both teams to score	38%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	58%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	14%	–	–
Valencia W or draw	67%	–	–
Valencia W clean sheet	39%	–	–
Eibar W clean sheet	37%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 14.4%

0123450 13.9 13.6 6.3 2.1 1 14.4 12.7 6.3 2.1 2 7.2 6.7 3.2 3 2.5 2.4 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Valencia W down, Eibar W across0–5 goals a side shown (99.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,262 Primera División Femenina matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Primera División Femenina matches have gone over 2.5 in 53.2% of games this season, across 62 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 6 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 2.50 goals a meeting; 1 of 6 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Valencia W at home: 1.17 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). Eibar W away: 0.33 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.02 goals for Valencia W, 0.96 for Eibar W. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~2.50

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 6

~~Both scored~~1 of 6

~~Last meetings~~VAL 2–0 EIB · EIB 2–0 VAL · VAL 0–2 EIB · EIB 1–0 VAL

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Primera División Femenina this season · since 6 Sept

VALENCIA W

LLLLLL1–2 · 1–3 · 1–2 · 0–1 · 0–1 · 0–4

EIBAR W

DLWWDL0–0 · 1–4 · 1–0 · 1–0 · 0–0 · 2–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Barcelona W	8	+28	21
2	Real Madrid W	8	+3	19
3	Athletic Club W	8	+4	15
4	Atletico Madrid W	8	+7	15
5	Madrid CFF W	7	−2	13
6	Eibar W	7	−1	11
7	Granad. Tenerife W	8	−2	11
8	Granada	8	−6	10
9	Espanyol W	8	+1	9
10	Edf Logrono W	8	−2	9
11	Real Sociedad W	8	−3	9
12	Sevilla W	8	−3	9
13	Deportivo de La Coruña W	7	0	8
14	FC Levante Badalona W	8	−4	8
15	Deportivo Alavés W	7	−6	7
16	Valencia W	8	−14	0