Real Sociedad W v Espanyol W

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Real Sociedad W win at 60%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Real Sociedad W 60% before kick-off, 59% now. 0–0 · 59–22–19
3. 1′KICK-OFF Real Sociedad W v Espanyol W
4. 22′22′: A. Campo on the scoresheet for Real Sociedad W, making it 1–0. 1–0 · 81–14–5
5. 22′⚽ GOAL · 22' Real Sociedad W 1–0 Espanyol W · A. Campo
6. 22′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 22' Real Sociedad W win: 60% at kick-off, 81% now
7. 23′21′: A. Campo on the scoresheet for Real Sociedad W, making it 1–0. 1–0 · 81–14–5
8. 24′We said Real Sociedad W at 60% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 81%. 1–0 · 81–14–5
9. 29′Espanyol W level it on 29′ through N. Escot. 1–1. 1–1 · 52–29–19
10. 29′⚽ GOAL · 29' Real Sociedad W 1–1 Espanyol W · N. Escot
11. 29′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 29' Real Sociedad W win: 60% at kick-off, 52% now
12. 31′Espanyol W level it on 28′ through N. Escot. 1–1. 1–1 · 51–30–19
13. 34′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 34' Real Sociedad W win: 60% at kick-off, 50% now
14. 39′We said Real Sociedad W at 60%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 48%. 1–1 · 48–34–18
15. 45′HALF-TIME Real Sociedad W 1–1 Espanyol W
16. 46′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Real Sociedad W · On: N. Eizaguirre · Off: A. Seelenfreund
17. 46′SECOND HALF Real Sociedad W 1–1 Espanyol W
18. 48′We said Real Sociedad W at 60%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 44%. 1–1 · 44–38–17
19. 52′The goal count is tracking the 2.8 we expected. 1–1 · 42–41–17
20. 55′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 55' Real Sociedad W win: 60% at kick-off, 40% now
21. 57′We said Real Sociedad W at 60%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 39%. 1–1 · 39–45–16
22. 57′THE CALL SWINGS · 57' Draw is now our likeliest result at 45% (was Real Sociedad W win 42%)
23. 60′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Espanyol W · On: P. Arana · Off: I. Lacosta
24. 60′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Real Sociedad W · On: A. Aparicio · Off: Camino Corrected
25. 62′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Real Sociedad W · On: Maren · Off: C. Marcos
26. 64′We said Real Sociedad W at 60%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 34–51–15
27. 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 69' Real Sociedad W win: 60% at kick-off, 30% now
28. 70′We said Real Sociedad W at 60%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–59–13
29. 72′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Real Sociedad W · On: E. Laborde · Off: Camino
30. 74′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Espanyol W · On: M. Torras · Off: N. Escot
31. 74′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Espanyol W · On: P. Browne · Off: Anita
32. 75′We said Real Sociedad W at 60%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 23%. 1–1 · 23–66–11
33. 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 78' Real Sociedad W win: 60% at kick-off, 20% now
34. 79′We said Real Sociedad W at 60%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 18%. 1–1 · 18–73–9
35. 81′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Real Sociedad W · On: S. Keefe · Off: I. Eguiguren
36. 82′We said Real Sociedad W at 60%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 14–79–7
37. 85′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 85' Real Sociedad W win: 60% at kick-off, 10% now
38. 86′We said Real Sociedad W at 60%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–86–4
39. 88′SUBSTITUTION · 88' Espanyol W · On: P. Ojeda · Off: P. Gutierrez
40. 92′We said Real Sociedad W at 60%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–94–2
41. FTFULL TIME Real Sociedad W 1–1 Espanyol W
42. FTReal Sociedad W 1–1 Espanyol W · Real Sociedad W win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.