Madrid CFF W v Deportivo de La Coruña W prediction · Primera División Femenina

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Madrid CFF WDrawDeportivo de La Coruña W

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 17:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Madrid CFF W 44%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Madrid CFF W are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Madrid CFF W 44%, draw 22%, Deportivo de La Coruña W 33%. Over 2.5 goals 62%, both teams to score 62%.

The AI’s read on Madrid CFF W v Deportivo de La Coruña WBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Madrid CFF W win44%

Draw22%

Deportivo de La Coruña W win33%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 17:00

RoundMatchday 9

VenueEstadio Fernando Torres

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Madrid CFF W

Deportivo de La Coruña W

13Days since last match13

Last match: 18 Oct · Primera División Femenina

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
5	Madrid CFF W	7	−2	13
13	Deportivo de La Coruña W	7	0	8

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · madrid cff w winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

44% The market–

Us44%

We make Madrid CFF W a 44% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–1.5, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Madrid CFF W v Deportivo de La Coruña W~~1.73 – 1.48

~~Form · last six in Primera División Femenina this season · since 5 Sept~~W3 D1 L2 · W2 D2 L2

~~Table places · points 13 v 8~~5 v 13

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Madrid CFF W win	44%	–	–
Draw	22%	–	–
Deportivo de La Coruña W win	33%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	62%	–	–
Both teams to score	62%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	82%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	40%	–	–
Madrid CFF W or draw	67%	–	–
Madrid CFF W clean sheet	23%	–	–
Deportivo de La Coruña W clean sheet	18%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.9%

0123450 4.0 6.4 4.5 2.2 1 7.5 9.9 7.4 3.7 2 6.1 8.7 6.3 3.1 3 3.5 5.0 3.7 4 2.2 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Madrid CFF W down, Deportivo de La Coruña W across0–5 goals a side shown (98.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,262 Primera División Femenina matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Primera División Femenina matches have gone over 2.5 in 53.2% of games this season, across 62 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 4 previous meetings since 2024/25 in every competition we cover, 4.50 goals a meeting; 3 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Madrid CFF W at home: 1.50 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Deportivo de La Coruña W away: 1.17 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.73 goals for Madrid CFF W, 1.48 for Deportivo de La Coruña W. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2024/25

~~Goals a meeting~~4.50

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 4

~~Both scored~~3 of 4

~~Last meetings~~MAD 1–6 DEP · DEP 1–2 MAD · MAD 4–3 DEP · DEP 1–0 MAD

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Primera División Femenina this season · since 5 Sept

MADRID CFF W

WWLWDL3–1 · 1–0 · 1–5 · 1–0 · 2–2 · 0–4

DEPORTIVO DE LA CORUÑA W

DLWDLW0–0 · 0–2 · 3–0 · 1–1 · 1–2 · 3–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Barcelona W	8	+28	21
2	Real Madrid W	8	+3	19
3	Athletic Club W	8	+4	15
4	Atletico Madrid W	8	+7	15
5	Madrid CFF W	7	−2	13
6	Eibar W	7	−1	11
7	Granad. Tenerife W	8	−2	11
8	Granada	8	−6	10
9	Espanyol W	8	+1	9
10	Edf Logrono W	8	−2	9
11	Real Sociedad W	8	−3	9
12	Sevilla W	8	−3	9
13	Deportivo de La Coruña W	7	0	8
14	FC Levante Badalona W	8	−4	8
15	Deportivo Alavés W	7	−6	7
16	Valencia W	8	−14	0