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FC Levante Badalona W v Granad. Tenerife W

FC Levante Badalona W

0–4Full time

Granad. Tenerife W

Primera División Femenina · SAT 17 OCT · Estadi Municipal de Badalona

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 13:56

FC Levante Badalona W 0–4 Granad. Tenerife W GRANAD. TENERIFE W WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG0–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Granad. Tenerife W win~~49%

~~The market said~~28%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.390

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.794

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay13 notes · 26 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Granad. Tenerife W win at 49%.
1′Little has changed for our model: Granad. Tenerife W 49% before kick-off, 49% now. 0–0 · 25–26–49
1′KICK-OFF FC Levante Badalona W v Granad. Tenerife W
5′4′: C. Suarez on the scoresheet for Granad. Tenerife W, making it 0–1. 0–1 · 8–17–75
5′⚽ GOAL · 4' FC Levante Badalona W 0–1 Granad. Tenerife W · C. Suarez
5′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 5' Granad. Tenerife W win: 49% at kick-off, 75% now
6′We said Granad. Tenerife W at 49% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 0–1 · 8–17–75
23′Granad. Tenerife W ahead on 22′ through C. Suarez. 0–2. 0–2 · 1–5–93
23′We said Granad. Tenerife W at 49% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 93%. 0–2 · 1–5–93
23′⚽ GOAL · 22' FC Levante Badalona W 0–2 Granad. Tenerife W · C. Suarez
23′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 23' Granad. Tenerife W win: 49% at kick-off, 93% now
33′SUBSTITUTION · 32' FC Levante Badalona W · On: L. Navarro · Off: L. Requena
36′We said Granad. Tenerife W at 49% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 0–2 · 1–4–95
36′I. Perez scores for Granad. Tenerife W on 35′ — 0–3. 0–3 · 0–1–99
36′⚽ GOAL · 35' FC Levante Badalona W 0–3 Granad. Tenerife W · I. Perez
36′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 36' Granad. Tenerife W win: 49% at kick-off, 99% now
37′3 goals already, more than the 2.4 we expected for the whole match. 0–3 · 0–1–99
45′HALF-TIME FC Levante Badalona W 0–3 Granad. Tenerife W
46′SECOND HALF FC Levante Badalona W 0–3 Granad. Tenerife W
51′We said Granad. Tenerife W at 49% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 0–3 · 0–0–100
51′🟨 YELLOW · 45+6' P. Gavira Collado · Granad. Tenerife W
53′51′: E. Verges on the scoresheet for Granad. Tenerife W, making it 0–4. 0–4 · 0–0–100
53′⚽ GOAL · 51' FC Levante Badalona W 0–4 Granad. Tenerife W · E. Verges (assist A. Zamanian)
54′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.4 across ninety minutes. 0–4 · 0–0–100
54′SUBSTITUTION · 54' Granad. Tenerife W · On: N. Padilla · Off: C. Suarez
58′SUBSTITUTION · 57' FC Levante Badalona W · On: N. Carmona · Off: B. Pujadas
58′SUBSTITUTION · 57' FC Levante Badalona W · On: M. Uria Gabilondo · Off: I. Uribe
59′🟨 YELLOW · 53' V. Quiles · Granad. Tenerife W
66′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Granad. Tenerife W · On: A. Perez · Off: I. Perez
66′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Granad. Tenerife W · On: Koko · Off: A. Zamanian
72′Granad. Tenerife W are down to ten from 72′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 0–4 · 0–0–100
72′🟨 YELLOW · 72' P. Gavira Collado · Granad. Tenerife W
72′🟥 RED CARD · 72' P. Gavira Collado · Granad. Tenerife W
76′SUBSTITUTION · 76' FC Levante Badalona W · On: K. Hendriks · Off: S. Majarin
78′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Granad. Tenerife W · On: N. Salazar · Off: A. Mingueza
78′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Granad. Tenerife W · On: L. Tiwa · Off: V. Quiles
82′🟨 YELLOW · 82' Koko · Granad. Tenerife W
84′A second red card for Granad. Tenerife W on 84′ — they are down to nine. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 0–4 · 0–0–100
84′🟥 RED CARD · 84' H. Muina Asla · Granad. Tenerife W
FTFULL TIME FC Levante Badalona W 0–4 Granad. Tenerife W
FTFC Levante Badalona W 0–4 Granad. Tenerife W · Granad. Tenerife W win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 0–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Granad. Tenerife W are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: FC Levante Badalona W 25%, draw 26%, Granad. Tenerife W 49%. Over 2.5 goals 42%, both teams to score 45%.

The AI’s read on FC Levante Badalona W v Granad. Tenerife WBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

FC Levante Badalona W win25%

Draw26%

Granad. Tenerife W win49%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 11:00

RoundMatchday 7

VenueEstadi Municipal de Badalona

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

FC Levante Badalona W

Granad. Tenerife W

14Days since last match13

Last match: 3 Oct · Primera División Femenina

Last match: 4 Oct · Primera División Femenina

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
8	FC Levante Badalona W	6	+1	8
9	Granad. Tenerife W	6	−5	8

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · granad. tenerife w winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

49% The market28%

Us49%

~~Market~~28%

We make Granad. Tenerife W a 49% chance to win. The market has them at 28%. We are 21 points more confident than the market. The model expects 0.9–1.4.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · FC Levante Badalona W v Granad. Tenerife W~~0.93 – 1.43

~~Form · Primera División Femenina this season · since 30 Aug~~W2 D2 L2 · W2 D2 L2

~~Table places · points 8 v 8~~8 v 9

~~The market · Granad. Tenerife W win~~28% · ours 49%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Granad. Tenerife W win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 28% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
FC Levante Badalona W win	25%	44%	−19
Draw	26%	28%	−2
Granad. Tenerife W win	49%	28%	+21
Over 2.5 goals	42%	50%	−8
Both teams to score	45%	56%	−11
Over 1.5 goals	68%	74%	−6
Over 3.5 goals	22%	30%	−8
FC Levante Badalona W or draw	51%	72%	−21
FC Levante Badalona W clean sheet	24%	–	–
Granad. Tenerife W clean sheet	40%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 5 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–1 at 13.9%

0123450 9.2 13.9 9.6 4.6 1 9.3 11.8 8.7 4.2 2 4.1 5.7 4.1 3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+FC Levante Badalona W down, Granad. Tenerife W across0–5 goals a side shown (99.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,248 Primera División Femenina matches up to 4 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Primera División Femenina matches have gone over 2.5 in 50.0% of games this season, across 48 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 8 previous meetings since 2022/23 in every competition we cover, 2.50 goals a meeting; 3 of 8 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

FC Levante Badalona W at home: 0.83 scored, 2.00 conceded a game (last 6). Granad. Tenerife W away: 1.00 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

0.93 goals for FC Levante Badalona W, 1.43 for Granad. Tenerife W. Most likely score 0–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2022/23

~~Goals a meeting~~2.50

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 8

~~Both scored~~5 of 8

~~Last meetings~~FCL 0–2 GRA · GRA 2–2 FCL · GRA 1–1 FCL · FCL 0–0 GRA

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Primera División Femenina this season · since 30 Aug

FC LEVANTE BADALONA W

LWWDLD1–3 · 1–0 · 4–1 · 0–0 · 0–1 · 3–3

GRANAD. TENERIFE W

LDDLWW0–5 · 0–0 · 1–1 · 1–3 · 2–1 · 2–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Barcelona W	6	+26	18
2	Madrid CFF W	6	+2	13
3	Real Madrid W	6	0	13
4	Eibar W	6	0	11
5	Athletic Club W	6	+3	11
6	Atletico Madrid W	6	−1	9
7	Espanyol W	6	+3	8
8	FC Levante Badalona W	6	+1	8
9	Granad. Tenerife W	6	−5	8
10	Sevilla W	6	−3	7
11	Granada	6	−4	7
12	Edf Logrono W	6	−2	6
13	Deportivo Alavés W	6	−6	6
14	Deportivo de La Coruña W	6	−1	5
15	Real Sociedad W	6	−4	5
16	Valencia W	6	−9	0