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Edf Logrono W v FC Levante Badalona W

Edf Logrono W
1–0Full time
FC Levante Badalona W

Primera División Femenina · SAT 24 OCT · Estadio Las Gaunas

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 19:48
Edf Logrono W 1–0 FC Levante Badalona W EDF LOGRONO W WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · RIGHT
We said Edf Logrono W win44%
The market said39%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.464
The market’s Brier score0.561

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay10 notes · 24 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Edf Logrono W win at 44%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: Edf Logrono W was 44% before kick-off and our model makes it 44% now. 0–0 · 44–26–30
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Edf Logrono W v FC Levante Badalona W
  4. 13′🟨 YELLOW · 13' C. Redondo · Edf Logrono W
  5. 39′🟨 YELLOW · 39' X. Velazco · Edf Logrono W
  6. 40′🟨 YELLOW · 40' M. Llompart Pons · FC Levante Badalona W
  7. 43′THE CALL SWINGS · 43' Draw is now our likeliest result at 40% (was Edf Logrono W win 37%)
  8. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Edf Logrono W win: 44% at kick-off, 34% now
  9. 45′HALF-TIME Edf Logrono W 0–0 FC Levante Badalona W
  10. 46′SECOND HALF Edf Logrono W 0–0 FC Levante Badalona W
  11. 51′We said Edf Logrono W at 44%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 32%. 0–0 · 32–44–23
  12. 55′We expected about 2.5 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 30–47–22
  13. 58′We said Edf Logrono W at 44%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–50–21
  14. 60′SUBSTITUTION · 59' Edf Logrono W · On: M. Barquero · Off: C. Redondo
  15. 60′SUBSTITUTION · 59' Edf Logrono W · On: L. Martinez · Off: X. Velazco
  16. 62′🟨 YELLOW · 61' C. Cubedo · FC Levante Badalona W
  17. 66′We said Edf Logrono W at 44%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–57–18
  18. 66′SUBSTITUTION · 65' FC Levante Badalona W · On: L. Navarro · Off: M. Uria Gabilondo
  19. 66′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 66' Edf Logrono W win: 44% at kick-off, 24% now
  20. 73′We said Edf Logrono W at 44%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 19–66–15
  21. 76′SUBSTITUTION · 75' FC Levante Badalona W · On: I. Pinillos · Off: S. Guijarro
  22. 78′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Edf Logrono W · On: F. Altgelt · Off: A. Franco
  23. 79′We said Edf Logrono W at 44%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 14–75–11
  24. 79′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 79' Edf Logrono W win: 44% at kick-off, 14% now
  25. 84′We said Edf Logrono W at 44%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 8%. 0–0 · 8–85–6
  26. 87′87′: F. Altgelt on the scoresheet for Edf Logrono W, making it 1–0. 1–0 · 95–5–0
  27. 87′⚽ GOAL · 87' Edf Logrono W 1–0 FC Levante Badalona W · F. Altgelt
  28. 87′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 87' Edf Logrono W win: 44% at kick-off, 95% now
  29. 87′THE CALL SWINGS · 87' Edf Logrono W win is now our likeliest result at 95% (was Draw 89%)
  30. 88′We published Edf Logrono W at 44%. Our model now makes it 96%. 1–0 · 96–4–0
  31. 88′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 88' Edf Logrono W win: 44% at kick-off, 96% now
  32. 89′SUBSTITUTION · 88' FC Levante Badalona W · On: A. Fernandez · Off: P. Sanchez
  33. 89′SUBSTITUTION · 89' Edf Logrono W · On: V. Donolato · Off: Isina
  34. 89′SUBSTITUTION · 89' FC Levante Badalona W · On: K. Hendriks · Off: L. Martinez
  35. FTFULL TIME Edf Logrono W 1–0 FC Levante Badalona W
  36. FTEdf Logrono W 1–0 FC Levante Badalona W · Edf Logrono W win: right · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Edf Logrono W are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Edf Logrono W 44%, draw 26%, FC Levante Badalona W 30%. Over 2.5 goals 45%, both teams to score 49%.

The AI’s read on Edf Logrono W v FC Levante Badalona WBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Edf Logrono W win44%
Draw26%
FC Levante Badalona W win30%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 17:15

RoundMatchday 8

VenueEstadio Las Gaunas

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Edf Logrono W

FC Levante Badalona W

7Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · Primera División Femenina

Last match: 17 Oct · Primera División Femenina

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
13FC Levante Badalona W7−38
15Edf Logrono W7−36

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · edf logrono w winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
44% The market39%
Us44%
Market39%

We make Edf Logrono W a 44% chance to win. The market has them at 39%. We are 5 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.4–1.1.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Edf Logrono W v FC Levante Badalona W1.40 – 1.09
Form · last six in Primera División Femenina this season · since 5 SeptW1 D0 L5 · W2 D2 L2
Table places · points 6 v 815 v 13
The market · Edf Logrono W win39% · ours 44%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
35%40%45%50% 18 OCT 01:2324 OCT 16:10
Our probability · Edf Logrono W win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 39% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Edf Logrono W win44%39%+5
Draw26%26%0
FC Levante Badalona W win30%35%−5
Over 2.5 goals45%49%−4
Both teams to score49%54%−5
Over 1.5 goals70%73%−3
Over 3.5 goals24%28%−4
Edf Logrono W or draw70%65%+5
Edf Logrono W clean sheet34%––
FC Levante Badalona W clean sheet25%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 1 bookmaker, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 12.1%
0123450 8.2 9.6 5.0 1 12.1 11.9 6.7 2.5 2 8.1 8.6 4.6 3 3.8 4.0 2.2 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Edf Logrono W down, FC Levante Badalona W across0–5 goals a side shown (99.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025/26
Goals a meeting2.50
Over 2.51 of 2
Both scored1 of 2
Last meetingsEDF 2–3 FCL · FCL 0–0 EDF

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Primera División Femenina this season · since 5 Sept

EDF LOGRONO W

LWLLLL0–1 · 2–1 · 0–1 · 0–2 · 1–2 · 2–3

FC LEVANTE BADALONA W

WWDLDL1–0 · 4–1 · 0–0 · 0–1 · 3–3 · 0–4

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Barcelona W7+2518
2Real Madrid W7+216
3Athletic Club W8+415
4Atletico Madrid W8+715
5Madrid CFF W7−213
6Granad. Tenerife W7−111
7Eibar W7−111
8Granada7−310
9Espanyol W8+19
10Real Sociedad W8−39
11Sevilla W8−39
12Deportivo de La Coruña W708
13FC Levante Badalona W7−38
14Deportivo Alavés W7−67
15Edf Logrono W7−36
16Valencia W8−140

The competition's standings before kick-off.