Home › Football › Primera División Femenina › Deportivo Alavés W v Sevilla W
Back

Deportivo Alavés W v Sevilla W
Deportivo Alavés W
Sevilla WPrimera División Femenina · SUN 18 OCT · Estadio Mendizorrotza
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Sevilla W win at 39%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Sevilla W was 39% before kick-off and our model makes it 39% now. 0–0 · 35–26–39
- 1′KICK-OFF Deportivo Alavés W v Sevilla W
- 14′🟨 YELLOW · 13' N. Lopez · Deportivo Alavés W
- 37′THE CALL SWINGS · 37' Draw is now our likeliest result at 38% (was Sevilla W win 33%)
- 42′40′: R. Marquez on the scoresheet for Sevilla W, making it 0–1. 0–1 · 8–21–71
- 42′We published Sevilla W at 39%. Our model now makes it 71%. 0–1 · 8–21–71
- 42′Goals are coming at about the 2.4 we expected. 0–1 · 8–21–71
- 42′⚽ GOAL · 40' Deportivo Alavés W 0–1 Sevilla W · R. Marquez
- 42′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 42' Sevilla W win: 39% at kick-off, 71% now
- 42′THE CALL SWINGS · 42' Sevilla W win is now our likeliest result at 71% (was Draw 21%)
- 45′HALF-TIME Deportivo Alavés W 0–1 Sevilla W
- 46′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Deportivo Alavés W · On: H. Ait El Haj · Off: C. Sobron
- 46′SECOND HALF Deportivo Alavés W 0–1 Sevilla W
- 48′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Deportivo Alavés W · On: M. Izal · Off: J. Vidal
- 49′Deportivo Alavés W level it on 48′ through A. Guallar. 1–1. 1–1 · 27–44–29
- 49′⚽ GOAL · 48' Deportivo Alavés W 1–1 Sevilla W · A. Guallar
- 49′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 49' Sevilla W win: 39% at kick-off, 29% now
- 49′THE CALL SWINGS · 49' Draw is now our likeliest result at 44% (was Sevilla W win 29%)
- 55′We said Sevilla W at 39%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 27%. 1–1 · 25–48–27
- 57′SUBSTITUTION · 56' Deportivo Alavés W · On: L. Navajas · Off: A. Gomez
- 62′We said Sevilla W at 39%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 22–54–24
- 70′We said Sevilla W at 39%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 18–63–19
- 70′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 70' Sevilla W win: 39% at kick-off, 19% now
- 71′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Sevilla W · On: J. Blom · Off: C. Blanco
- 71′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Sevilla W · On: X. Barrios · Off: E. Martin-Pozuelo
- 76′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Deportivo Alavés W · On: Y. Diaz · Off: K. Z. Brima
- 77′We said Sevilla W at 39%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 13–73–14
- 81′🟨 YELLOW · 81' I. Juan · Deportivo Alavés W
- 83′We said Sevilla W at 39%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 8–84–9
- 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 83' Sevilla W win: 39% at kick-off, 9% now
- 86′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Sevilla W · On: I. Alvarez · Off: A. Alvarez
- 88′SUBSTITUTION · 88' Deportivo Alavés W · On: S. Brasero-Carreira · Off: Kim Shin-Ji
- 90′We said Sevilla W at 39%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–92–4
- FTFULL TIME Deportivo Alavés W 1–1 Sevilla W
- FTDeportivo Alavés W 1–1 Sevilla W · Sevilla W win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Close to call, with Sevilla W just ahead.
The Pitchside prediction: Deportivo Alavés W 35%, draw 26%, Sevilla W 39%. Over 2.5 goals 43%, both teams to score 48%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Deportivo Alavés W win35%
Sevilla W win39%Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 11:00
RoundMatchday 7
VenueEstadio Mendizorrotza
RefereeP. Cebollada
Match timeline
All events
Deportivo Alavés WMIN
Sevilla WEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Deportivo Alavés W
Sevilla W
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Deportivo Alavés W
Sevilla W
Last match: 3 Oct · Primera División Femenina
Last match: 3 Oct · Primera División Femenina
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Deportivo Alavés W
Formation not confirmed
1 S. Fuente
2 L. Parera
5 I. Altamira
21 Pichi
23 J. Vidal
7 C. Sobron
12 Kim Shin-Ji
6 N. Lopez
15 K. Z. Brima
11 A. Gomez
20 A. Guallar
Coach · Andrea Esteban Catalan
Substitutes
13 · S. Polozen
16 · A. Rivero
24 · M. Izal
4 · Amaya
17 · H. Ait El Haj
19 · Y. Diaz
10 · L. Navajas
18 · E. Viles
14 · Celia
8 · S. Brasero-Carreira
9 · Reyes
Sevilla W
Formation not confirmed
1 E. Sullastres
30 A. Lopez
24 A. Marques
16 I. Arnaiz
7 R. Morcillo
6 A. Redondo
23 S. Castello
22 C. Blanco
20 R. Marquez
15 E. Martin-Pozuelo
8 A. Alvarez
Coach · David Losada
Substitutes
13 · M. Echezarreta
4 · I. Alvarez
33 · M. Sierra
21 · G. Gili Giner
10 · J. Blom
34 · C. Ferrer
35 · X. Barrios
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Deportivo Alavés W
Formation not confirmed
1 S. Fuente
2 L. Parera
5 I. Altamira
21 Pichi
23 J. Vidal
7 C. Sobron
12 Kim Shin-Ji
6 N. Lopez
15 K. Z. Brima
11 A. Gomez
20 A. Guallar
Coach · Andrea Esteban Catalan
Substitutes
13 · S. Polozen
16 · A. Rivero
24 · M. Izal
4 · Amaya
17 · H. Ait El Haj
19 · Y. Diaz
10 · L. Navajas
18 · E. Viles
14 · Celia
8 · S. Brasero-Carreira
9 · Reyes
Sevilla W
Formation not confirmed
1 E. Sullastres
30 A. Lopez
24 A. Marques
16 I. Arnaiz
7 R. Morcillo
6 A. Redondo
23 S. Castello
22 C. Blanco
20 R. Marquez
15 E. Martin-Pozuelo
8 A. Alvarez
Coach · David Losada
Substitutes
13 · M. Echezarreta
4 · I. Alvarez
33 · M. Sierra
21 · G. Gili Giner
10 · J. Blom
34 · C. Ferrer
35 · X. Barrios
We make Sevilla W a 39% chance to win. The market has them at 36%. We are 3 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.2–1.3.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 36% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Alavés W win | 35% | 36% | −1 |
| Draw | 26% | 28% | −2 |
| Sevilla W win | 39% | 36% | +3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 49% | −6 |
| Both teams to score | 48% | 53% | −5 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 68% | 72% | −4 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 23% | 28% | −5 |
| Deportivo Alavés W or draw | 61% | 64% | −3 |
| Deportivo Alavés W clean sheet | 29% | – | – |
| Sevilla W clean sheet | 32% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
4 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · Primera División Femenina this season · since 29 Aug
DEPORTIVO ALAVÉS W
SEVILLA W
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona W | 6 | +26 | 18 |
| 2 | Real Madrid W | 7 | +2 | 16 |
| 3 | Athletic Club W | 7 | +4 | 14 |
| 4 | Madrid CFF W | 6 | +2 | 13 |
| 5 | Eibar W | 6 | 0 | 11 |
| 6 | Granad. Tenerife W | 7 | −1 | 11 |
| 7 | Granada | 7 | −3 | 10 |
| 8 | Atletico Madrid W | 6 | −1 | 9 |
| 9 | FC Levante Badalona W | 7 | −3 | 8 |
| 10 | Espanyol W | 7 | +1 | 8 |
| 11 | Sevilla W | 6 | −3 | 7 |
| 12 | Edf Logrono W | 7 | −3 | 6 |
| 13 | Deportivo Alavés W | 6 | −6 | 6 |
| 14 | Deportivo de La Coruña W | 6 | −1 | 5 |
| 15 | Real Sociedad W | 6 | −4 | 5 |
| 16 | Valencia W | 7 | −10 | 0 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Barcelona W
Real Madrid W
Athletic Club W
Madrid CFF W
Eibar W
Granad. Tenerife W
Granada
Atletico Madrid W
FC Levante Badalona W
Espanyol W
Edf Logrono W
Deportivo de La Coruña W
Real Sociedad W
Valencia W