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Rayo Vallecano v Athletic Club
La Liga · SAT 10 OCT · Estadio de Vallecas
Match updates
Recorded match details below.
Timeline
Events will appear when the match starts.
Pre-match prediction
Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15
Freedom fuels Sergio Camello’s Rayo Vallecano scoring surgeFootball España · 1 day ago · Rayo Vallecano
Sergio Camello: ‘Rayo is the last team standing – it’s football from another time’The Guardian · 1 day ago · Rayo Vallecano
Match information
SAT 10 OCT · 13:00
Venue · Estadio de Vallecas
Referee · Jose Maria Sanchez Martinez
The game so far
Recorded statisticsMatch statistics
Match statistics are not available yet.
Players on the pitch
Recorded line-upsLine-ups
Rayo Vallecano
4-3-3
25 E. Audero
20 I. Balliu
24 F. Lejeune
15 Mujaid Sadick
17 Adrià Pedrosa
4 Pedro Díaz
6 P. Ciss
8 Unai López
19 Jorge de Frutos
10 Sergio Camello
18 Álvaro García
Coach · Beñat San José
Substitutes
9 · Alemão
36 · G. Bouare
1 · Dani Cárdenas
3 · M. Kumbulla
5 · Luiz Felipe
11 · R. Nteka
7 · Isi Palazón
21 · Fran Pérez
14 · G. Tsitaishvili
23 · Óscar Valentín
33 · J. Vertrouwd
34 · Iván Alonso Martín
Athletic Club
4-2-3-1
1 Unai Simón
12 Jesús Areso
5 Yeray
4 Aitor Paredes
17 Yuri
16 Ruíz de Galarreta
24 Beñat Gerenabarrena
7 Álex Berenguer
28 Peio Canales
23 Robert Navarro
9 I. Williams
Coach · E. Terzić
Substitutes
11 · Gorka Guruzeta
18 · Mikel Jauregizar
31 · J. Louis-Jean
13 · Álex Padilla
6 · Beñat Prados
20 · Alejandro Rego
15 · Hugo Rincón
21 · Maroan Sannadi
22 · Nico Serrano
3 · Dani Vivian
25 · Álvaro Djaló
33 · Christian Imga
Match statistics
Match statistics are not available yet.
Line-ups
Rayo Vallecano
4-3-3
25 E. Audero
20 I. Balliu
24 F. Lejeune
15 Mujaid Sadick
17 Adrià Pedrosa
4 Pedro Díaz
6 P. Ciss
8 Unai López
19 Jorge de Frutos
10 Sergio Camello
18 Álvaro García
Coach · Beñat San José
Substitutes
9 · Alemão
36 · G. Bouare
1 · Dani Cárdenas
3 · M. Kumbulla
5 · Luiz Felipe
11 · R. Nteka
7 · Isi Palazón
21 · Fran Pérez
14 · G. Tsitaishvili
23 · Óscar Valentín
33 · J. Vertrouwd
34 · Iván Alonso Martín
Athletic Club
4-2-3-1
1 Unai Simón
12 Jesús Areso
5 Yeray
4 Aitor Paredes
17 Yuri
16 Ruíz de Galarreta
24 Beñat Gerenabarrena
7 Álex Berenguer
28 Peio Canales
23 Robert Navarro
9 I. Williams
Coach · E. Terzić
Substitutes
11 · Gorka Guruzeta
18 · Mikel Jauregizar
31 · J. Louis-Jean
13 · Álex Padilla
6 · Beñat Prados
20 · Alejandro Rego
15 · Hugo Rincón
21 · Maroan Sannadi
22 · Nico Serrano
3 · Dani Vivian
25 · Álvaro Djaló
33 · Christian Imga
We make Rayo Vallecano a 37% chance to win. The market has them at 34%. We are 3 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.1–1.1.
Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 35% to 34% in the same time.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano win | 37% | 34% | +3 |
| Draw | 29% | 29% | 0 |
| Athletic Club win | 34% | 37% | −2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 39% | 47% | −9 |
| Both teams to score | 45% | 54% | −8 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 66% | 72% | −6 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 19% | 28% | −9 |
| Rayo Vallecano or draw | 66% | 63% | +2 |
| Rayo Vallecano clean sheet | 34% | – | – |
| Athletic Club clean sheet | 32% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
10 meetings since 2021Form · last six in La Liga
RAYO VALLECANO
ATHLETIC CLUB
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 7 | +24 | 21 |
| 2 | Atletico Madrid | 7 | +9 | 16 |
| 3 | Real Betis | 7 | +2 | 16 |
| 4 | Real Madrid | 7 | +10 | 15 |
| 5 | Sevilla | 7 | +1 | 13 |
| 6 | Alaves | 7 | +5 | 11 |
| 7 | Deportivo La Coruna | 7 | +2 | 10 |
| 8 | Real Sociedad | 7 | −4 | 10 |
| 9 | Villarreal | 7 | +1 | 8 |
| 10 | Athletic Club | 6 | +1 | 8 |
| 11 | Espanyol | 8 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 | Getafe | 7 | −3 | 8 |
| 13 | Rayo Vallecano | 7 | −5 | 8 |
| 14 | Osasuna | 7 | −7 | 8 |
| 15 | Celta Vigo | 7 | +2 | 7 |
| 16 | Racing Santander | 7 | −10 | 7 |
| 17 | Levante | 6 | −4 | 5 |
| 18 | Elche | 7 | −6 | 5 |
| 19 | Malaga | 8 | −9 | 4 |
| 20 | Valencia | 7 | −9 | 4 |
Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.
Barcelona
Atletico Madrid
Real Betis
Real Madrid
Sevilla
Alaves
Deportivo La Coruna
Real Sociedad
Villarreal
Espanyol
Getafe
Osasuna
Celta Vigo
Racing Santander
Levante
Elche
Malaga
Valencia