

Racing Santander v Valencia
Racing Santander
ValenciaLa Liga · SUN 11 OCT · El Sardinero
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Racing Santander win at 39%.
- 1′We said Racing Santander at 39%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 19–20–61
- 4′Daniel Raba Antolín scores for Valencia on 2′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 18–20–61
- 26′We said Racing Santander at 39%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–22–64
- 32′32′ and it is 1–1: Yassir Zabiri on the scoresheet for Racing Santander. 1–1 · 35–32–33
- 35′Little has changed for our model: Racing Santander 39% before kick-off, 35% now. 1–1 · 35–33–33
- 45′8.0 shots for Racing Santander, 2.0 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 1–1 · 32–37–31
- 45′32′ and it is 1–1: Yassir Zabiri on the scoresheet for Racing Santander. 1–1 · 32–37–31
- 45′8.0 shots for Racing Santander, 3.0 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 1–1 · 32–37–31
- 45′Little has changed for our model: Racing Santander 39% before kick-off, 32% now. 1–1 · 32–37–31
- 47′Racing Santander ahead on 47′ through Iván Martín. 2–1. 2–1 · 70–22–9
- 50′We said Racing Santander at 39% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 70%. 2–1 · 70–21–8
- 52′3 goals already, more than the 3.0 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 71–21–8
- 62′We said Racing Santander at 39% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 2–1 · 75–20–5
- 65′We said Racing Santander at 39%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 25%. 2–2 · 25–51–24
- 67′David Otorbi Ejededawe scores for Valencia on 65′ — 2–2. 2–2 · 24–54–23
- 69′David Otorbi Ejededawe scores for Valencia on 65′ — 2–2. 2–2 · 22–56–22
- 69′We said Racing Santander at 39%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 22%. 2–2 · 22–56–22
- 72′14.0 shots for Racing Santander, 7.0 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 2–2 · 20–60–20
- 74′We said Racing Santander at 39%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 2–2 · 19–63–18
- 76′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.0 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 17–66–17
- 80′We said Racing Santander at 39%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 13%. 2–2 · 13–74–13
- 85′We said Racing Santander at 39%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 7%. 2–2 · 7–85–7
- 87′16.0 shots for Racing Santander, 9.0 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 2–2 · 5–91–5
- 90′We said Racing Santander at 39%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 0%. 2–2 · 0–100–0
- 92′🟨 YELLOW · 92' Iván Martín · Racing Santander
- 92′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 92' Racing Santander win: 39% at kick-off, 11% now
- 92′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 92' Racing Santander win: 39% at kick-off, 0% now
- 93′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 93' Racing Santander win: 39% at kick-off, 0% now
- 93′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 93' Racing Santander win: 39% at kick-off, 11% now
- 93′THE CALL SWINGS · 93' Draw is now our likeliest result at 78% (was Racing Santander win 11%)
- FTFULL TIME Racing Santander 2–2 Valencia
- FTRacing Santander 2–2 Valencia · Racing Santander win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.
The model’s prediction on this page stays free.
Pre-match prediction
Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15
Racing Santander win39%
Valencia win37%Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 20:00
VenueEl Sardinero
RefereeLuis Bestard Servera
Match timeline
All events
Racing SantanderMIN
ValenciaEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Racing Santander
4-1-4-1
Valencia
5-4-1
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · this competition
Racing Santander
Valencia
Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.
Line-ups
Racing Santander
4-1-4-1
13 J. Agirrezabala
2 A. Mantilla
5 P. Ramon
24 J. Belocian
17 J. Salinas
18 M. Prati
20 S. Canales
23 I. Martin
8 A. Almeida
10 I. Vicente
21 Y. Zabiri
Coach · Jose Lopez
Substitutes
31 · L. Gomez Rodriguez
16 · F. Gonzalez
3 · A. Martin
4 · Manu Hernando
6 · I. Sainz-Maza
14 · M. Gueye
12 · A. Villalibre
7 · G. Guliashvili
9 · J. Arana
11 · A. Martin
19 · I. Luque
15 · P. Garcia
Valencia
5-4-1
1 S. Dimitrievski
24 P. Maffeo
4 M. Diakhaby
18 Pepelu
12 J. De Haas
14 J. Gaya
19 D. Raba
23 F. Ugrinic
2 G. Rodriguez
8 J. Guerra
9 H. Duro
Coach · Javier Aguirre
Substitutes
25 · K. van Oevelen
5 · C. Tarrega
21 · J. Vazquez
22 · A. Martinez
36 · I. Cordoba
33 · A. Mayol
15 · A. Dieng
10 · H. Elliott
39 · R. Sato
7 · A. Danjuma
27 · D. Otorbi
37 · A. Blazquez
Match statistics
Match statistics are not available yet.
Line-ups
Racing Santander
4-1-4-1
13 J. Agirrezabala
2 A. Mantilla
5 P. Ramon
24 J. Belocian
17 J. Salinas
18 M. Prati
20 S. Canales
23 I. Martin
8 A. Almeida
10 I. Vicente
21 Y. Zabiri
Coach · Jose Lopez
Substitutes
31 · L. Gomez Rodriguez
16 · F. Gonzalez
3 · A. Martin
4 · Manu Hernando
6 · I. Sainz-Maza
14 · M. Gueye
12 · A. Villalibre
7 · G. Guliashvili
9 · J. Arana
11 · A. Martin
19 · I. Luque
15 · P. Garcia
Valencia
5-4-1
1 S. Dimitrievski
24 P. Maffeo
4 M. Diakhaby
18 Pepelu
12 J. De Haas
14 J. Gaya
19 D. Raba
23 F. Ugrinic
2 G. Rodriguez
8 J. Guerra
9 H. Duro
Coach · Javier Aguirre
Substitutes
25 · K. van Oevelen
5 · C. Tarrega
21 · J. Vazquez
22 · A. Martinez
36 · I. Cordoba
33 · A. Mayol
15 · A. Dieng
10 · H. Elliott
39 · R. Sato
7 · A. Danjuma
27 · D. Otorbi
37 · A. Blazquez
We make Racing Santander a 39% chance to win. The market has them at 43%. We are 4 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.5–1.5.
Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 41% to 43% in the same time.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Racing Santander win | 39% | 43% | −4 |
| Draw | 24% | 27% | −3 |
| Valencia win | 37% | 30% | +7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 57% | 0 |
| Both teams to score | 60% | 61% | −1 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% | 78% | +2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35% | 37% | −2 |
| Racing Santander or draw | 63% | 70% | −7 |
| Racing Santander clean sheet | 23% | – | – |
| Valencia clean sheet | 22% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
0 meetings since 2021No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.
Form · last six in La Liga
RACING SANTANDER
VALENCIA
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 8 | +27 | 24 |
| 2 | Atletico Madrid | 8 | +10 | 19 |
| 3 | Real Madrid | 8 | +11 | 18 |
| 4 | Real Betis | 7 | +2 | 16 |
| 5 | Sevilla | 7 | +1 | 13 |
| 6 | Alaves | 8 | +4 | 11 |
| 7 | Deportivo La Coruna | 7 | +2 | 10 |
| 8 | Real Sociedad | 7 | −4 | 10 |
| 9 | Athletic Club | 6 | +1 | 8 |
| 10 | Villarreal | 8 | 0 | 8 |
| 11 | Espanyol | 8 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 | Rayo Vallecano | 7 | −5 | 8 |
| 13 | Getafe | 8 | −6 | 8 |
| 14 | Osasuna | 7 | −7 | 8 |
| 15 | Celta Vigo | 7 | +2 | 7 |
| 16 | Racing Santander | 7 | −10 | 7 |
| 17 | Levante | 6 | −4 | 5 |
| 18 | Elche | 7 | −6 | 5 |
| 19 | Malaga | 8 | −9 | 4 |
| 20 | Valencia | 7 | −9 | 4 |
Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.
Barcelona
Atletico Madrid
Real Madrid
Real Betis
Sevilla
Alaves
Deportivo La Coruna
Real Sociedad
Athletic Club
Villarreal
Espanyol
Rayo Vallecano
Getafe
Osasuna
Celta Vigo
Levante
Elche
Malaga