Racing Santander v Espanyol

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Racing Santander win at 38%.
2. 1′KICK-OFF Racing Santander v Espanyol
3. 5′Much as we predicted: Racing Santander was 38% before kick-off and our model makes it 38% now. 0–0 · 38–25–37
4. 9′🟨 YELLOW · 8' Iñigo Vicente · Racing Santander
5. 19′🟨 YELLOW · 17' Pol Lozano · Espanyol
6. 45′🟨 YELLOW · 43' José Manuel González Álvarez · Espanyol
7. 45′SECOND HALF Racing Santander 0–0 Espanyol
8. 46′THE CALL SWINGS · 45+1' Draw is now our likeliest result at 37% (was Racing Santander win 34%)
9. 47′HALF-TIME Racing Santander 0–0 Espanyol
10. 55′We expected about 3.1 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 29–42–29
11. 57′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 57' Racing Santander win: 38% at kick-off, 28% now
12. 62′We said Racing Santander at 38%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 6%. 0–1 · 6–21–74
13. 62′⚽ GOAL · 62' Racing Santander 0–1 Espanyol
14. 62′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 62' Racing Santander win: 38% at kick-off, 6% now
15. 62′THE CALL SWINGS · 62' Espanyol win is now our likeliest result at 74% (was Draw 47%)
16. 63′62′: Eduardo Expósito Jaén on the scoresheet for Espanyol, making it 0–1. 0–1 · 5–20–74
17. 63′Racing Santander have had 12 attempts to 7 and it is still 0–1. 0–1 · 5–20–74
18. 67′We said Racing Santander at 38%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–1 · 4–19–76
19. 68′🟨 YELLOW · 67' Pablo Ramon Parra · Racing Santander
20. 69′We said Racing Santander at 38%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 22%. 1–1 · 22–56–22
21. 69′Goals are coming at about the 3.1 we expected. 1–1 · 22–56–22
22. 69′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Racing Santander · On: Iker Luque · Off: Matteo Prati
23. 69′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Racing Santander · On: Pablo García · Off: Andrés Martín
24. 69′⚽ GOAL · 69' Racing Santander 1–1 Espanyol
25. 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 69' Racing Santander win: 38% at kick-off, 22% now
26. 69′THE CALL SWINGS · 69' Draw is now our likeliest result at 56% (was Espanyol win 77%)
27. 70′Racing Santander level it on 69′ through Jeanuël Belocian. 1–1. 1–1 · 22–57–21
28. 71′🟨 YELLOW · 70' Urko Gonzalez · Espanyol
29. 74′We said Racing Santander at 38%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–63–19
30. 75′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 75' Racing Santander win: 38% at kick-off, 18% now
31. 77′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Espanyol · On: Tyrhys Dolan · Off: Francisco Javier Hernandez Coarasa
32. 77′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Espanyol · On: Javi Puado · Off: Bryan Zaragoza
33. 79′We said Racing Santander at 38%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 14–71–14
34. 79′Racing Santander have had 16 attempts to 8 and it is still 1–1. 1–1 · 14–71–14
35. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Racing Santander · On: André Almeida · Off: Sergio Canales
36. 83′We published Racing Santander at 38%. Our model now makes it 90%. 2–1 · 90–9–1
37. 83′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Racing Santander · On: Pedro Felipe · Off: Pablo Ramon Parra
38. 83′⚽ GOAL · 83' Racing Santander 2–1 Espanyol
39. 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 83' Racing Santander win: 38% at kick-off, 90% now
40. 83′THE CALL SWINGS · 83' Racing Santander win is now our likeliest result at 90% (was Draw 80%)
41. 84′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 84' Racing Santander win: 38% at kick-off, 91% now
42. 85′Yassir Zabiri scores for Racing Santander on 84′ — 2–1. 2–1 · 92–8–0
43. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Espanyol · On: Urko Gonzalez · Off: Pol Lozano
44. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Espanyol · On: Marcos Fernández · Off: Álex Calatrava Torrado
45. 88′SUBSTITUTION · 88' Racing Santander · On: Maguette Gueye · Off: Iñigo Vicente
46. 89′We published Racing Santander at 38%. Our model now makes it 95%. 2–1 · 95–5–0
47. 90′🟨 YELLOW · 89' Javi Puado · Espanyol
48. 91′🟨 YELLOW · 90' Eduardo Expósito Jaén · Espanyol
49. 93′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+3' Racing Santander win: 38% at kick-off, 98% now
50. 95′SUBSTITUTION · 90+5' Espanyol · On: Unai Núñez · Off: Vanja Drkusic
51. 96′Full time, 2–1. We called Racing Santander at 38% — that one lands. 2–1 · 100–0–0
52. FTFULL TIME Racing Santander 2–1 Espanyol
53. FTRacing Santander 2–1 Espanyol · Racing Santander win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.