

Deportivo La Coruna v Levante
Deportivo La Coruna
LevanteLa Liga · FRI 16 OCT · Estadio de Riazor
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Deportivo La Coruna win at 48%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Deportivo La Coruna 48% before kick-off, 48% now. 0–0 · 48–24–29
- 1′KICK-OFF Deportivo La Coruna v Levante
- 33′🟨 YELLOW · 33' Iván Romero · Levante
- 43′🟨 YELLOW · 42' Luismi Cruz · Deportivo La Coruna
- 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Deportivo La Coruna win: 48% at kick-off, 38% now
- 45′SECOND HALF Deportivo La Coruna 0–0 Levante
- 46′HALF-TIME Deportivo La Coruna 0–0 Levante
- 51′We said Deportivo La Coruna at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 36%. 0–0 · 36–39–24
- 53′THE CALL SWINGS · 53' Draw is now our likeliest result at 41% (was Deportivo La Coruna win 35%)
- 55′We said Deportivo La Coruna at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–42–24
- 55′Goalless on 55′ when we expected about 3.0 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 34–42–24
- 62′We said Deportivo La Coruna at 48% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 79%. 1–0 · 79–18–4
- 62′⚽ GOAL · 62' Deportivo La Coruna 1–0 Levante
- 62′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 62' Deportivo La Coruna win: 48% at kick-off, 79% now
- 62′THE CALL SWINGS · 62' Deportivo La Coruna win is now our likeliest result at 79% (was Draw 18%)
- 62′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Deportivo La Coruna · On: Adria Altimira · Off: Ximo Navarro
- 62′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Deportivo La Coruna · On: Adama Traoré · Off: Luismi Cruz
- 63′Bil Nsongo scores for Deportivo La Coruna on 63′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 79–17–4
- 65′We said Deportivo La Coruna at 48% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 1–0 · 80–17–3
- 70′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Levante · On: Petar Ratkov · Off: Oriol Rey
- 70′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Levante · On: Jon Ander Olasagasti · Off: Enzo Bardeli
- 75′We said Deportivo La Coruna at 48% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 1–0 · 85–13–2
- 77′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Levante · On: Jeremy Toljan · Off: Nacho Pérez Gómez
- 79′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 79' Deportivo La Coruna win: 48% at kick-off, 88% now
- 80′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Deportivo La Coruna · On: Jonathan Asp Jensen · Off: Yeremay Hernández
- 80′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Deportivo La Coruna · On: Angeliño · Off: Riki Rodríguez
- 81′We said Deportivo La Coruna at 48% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 1–0 · 90–10–1
- 82′We said Deportivo La Coruna at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 13%. 1–1 · 13–78–9
- 82′⚽ GOAL · 82' Deportivo La Coruna 1–1 Levante
- 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' Deportivo La Coruna win: 48% at kick-off, 13% now
- 82′THE CALL SWINGS · 82' Draw is now our likeliest result at 78% (was Deportivo La Coruna win 13%)
- 83′82′: Daniel Requena Sánchez on the scoresheet for Levante, making it 1–1. 1–1 · 12–80–8
- 85′We said Deportivo La Coruna at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–84–7
- 85′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Deportivo La Coruna · On: Miguel Loureiro · Off: Bright Ede
- 87′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 87' Deportivo La Coruna win: 48% at kick-off, 8% now
- 90′🟨 YELLOW · 89' Adrián de la Fuente Barquilla · Levante
- 92′We said Deportivo La Coruna at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–94–3
- 93′SUBSTITUTION · 90+3' Levante · On: Víctor García · Off: Thiago Cruz Fernandez
- 97′1–1 at the end. Our 48% on Deportivo La Coruna misses, and the record keeps it. 1–1 · 0–100–0
- 97′🟨 YELLOW · 90+6' Adria Altimira · Deportivo La Coruna
- FTFULL TIME Deportivo La Coruna 1–1 Levante
- FTDeportivo La Coruna 1–1 Levante · Deportivo La Coruna win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassDeportivo La Coruna are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Deportivo La Coruna 48%, draw 24%, Levante 29%. Over 2.5 goals 58%, both teams to score 59%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 10 Oct 03:49 · locked at kick-off
Deportivo La Coruna win48%
Levante win29%Kick-offFRI 16 OCT · 20:00
RoundMatchday 9
VenueEstadio de Riazor
RefereeManuel Jesus Orellana Cid
Match timeline
All events
Deportivo La CorunaMIN
LevanteEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Deportivo La Coruna
4-4-2
Levante
4-3-3
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Deportivo La Coruna
Levante
Last match: 11 Oct · La Liga
Last match: 12 Oct · La Liga
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Deportivo La Coruna
4-4-2
13 L. Roman
23 X. Navarro
20 J. Gimenez
22 B. Ede
12 G. Quagliata
19 Lusimi Cruz
21 M. Soriano
8 D. Villares Yanez
14 R. Rodriguez
10 Y. Hernandez
32 B. Nsongo
Coach · Antonio Hidalgo
Substitutes
25 · A. Fernandez
15 · M. Loureiro
2 · A. Altimira
17 · Angelino
4 · L. Noubi
36 · Y. Gonzalez
37 · N. Carrillo
18 · J. Asp
24 · A. Traore
11 · D. Mella
31 · M. Ochoa
33 · K. Sanchez
Levante
4-3-3
13 M. Ryan
29 N. Perez
4 Dela
3 I. Ndukwe
23 M. Sanchez
18 E. Bardeli
20 O. Rey
6 D. Requena
7 R. Brugue
9 I. Romero
24 T. Fernandez
Coach · Luis Castro
Substitutes
1 · P. Cunat
36 · I. Galdin
2 · A. Mandi
22 · J. Toljan
14 · J. Cabello
27 · P. Cortes
8 · J. A. Olasagasti
16 · A. Tape
17 · V. Garcia
11 · Y. Musuayi
10 · P. Ratkov
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Deportivo La Coruna
4-4-2
13 L. Roman
23 X. Navarro
20 J. Gimenez
22 B. Ede
12 G. Quagliata
19 Lusimi Cruz
21 M. Soriano
8 D. Villares Yanez
14 R. Rodriguez
10 Y. Hernandez
32 B. Nsongo
Coach · Antonio Hidalgo
Substitutes
25 · A. Fernandez
15 · M. Loureiro
2 · A. Altimira
17 · Angelino
4 · L. Noubi
36 · Y. Gonzalez
37 · N. Carrillo
18 · J. Asp
24 · A. Traore
11 · D. Mella
31 · M. Ochoa
33 · K. Sanchez
Levante
4-3-3
13 M. Ryan
29 N. Perez
4 Dela
3 I. Ndukwe
23 M. Sanchez
18 E. Bardeli
20 O. Rey
6 D. Requena
7 R. Brugue
9 I. Romero
24 T. Fernandez
Coach · Luis Castro
Substitutes
1 · P. Cunat
36 · I. Galdin
2 · A. Mandi
22 · J. Toljan
14 · J. Cabello
27 · P. Cortes
8 · J. A. Olasagasti
16 · A. Tape
17 · V. Garcia
11 · Y. Musuayi
10 · P. Ratkov
We make Deportivo La Coruna a 48% chance to win. The market has them at 46%. We are within 2 points of the market. The model expects 1.7–1.3.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 47%, 48% now. The market has gone from 45% to 46% in the same time.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo La Coruna win | 48% | 46% | +2 |
| Draw | 24% | 27% | −3 |
| Levante win | 29% | 27% | +2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 51% | +7 |
| Both teams to score | 59% | 56% | +3 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% | 74% | +6 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 36% | 32% | +4 |
| Deportivo La Coruna or draw | 71% | 73% | −2 |
| Deportivo La Coruna clean sheet | 28% | – | – |
| Levante clean sheet | 18% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
2 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in La Liga this season · since 24 Aug
DEPORTIVO LA CORUNA
LEVANTE
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 8 | +27 | 24 |
| 2 | Atletico Madrid | 8 | +10 | 19 |
| 3 | Real Betis | 8 | +5 | 19 |
| 4 | Real Madrid | 8 | +11 | 18 |
| 5 | Sevilla | 8 | +1 | 14 |
| 6 | Real Sociedad | 8 | −3 | 13 |
| 7 | Alaves | 8 | +4 | 11 |
| 8 | Deportivo La Coruna | 8 | +1 | 10 |
| 9 | Celta Vigo | 8 | +2 | 8 |
| 10 | Athletic Club | 6 | +1 | 8 |
| 11 | Villarreal | 8 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 | Espanyol | 8 | 0 | 8 |
| 13 | Rayo Vallecano | 7 | −5 | 8 |
| 14 | Getafe | 8 | −6 | 8 |
| 15 | Racing Santander | 8 | −10 | 8 |
| 16 | Osasuna | 8 | −10 | 8 |
| 17 | Levante | 7 | −4 | 6 |
| 18 | Elche | 8 | −6 | 6 |
| 19 | Valencia | 8 | −9 | 5 |
| 20 | Malaga | 8 | −9 | 4 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Barcelona
Atletico Madrid
Real Betis
Real Madrid
Sevilla
Real Sociedad
Alaves
Celta Vigo
Athletic Club
Villarreal
Espanyol
Rayo Vallecano
Getafe
Racing Santander
Osasuna
Elche
Valencia
Malaga