Install the appInstall the appPitchside Lab · free · no ads
Pitchside Lab
Model 1.2

Home › Football › Copa del Rey › Xerez v Cadiz

Back
Spain flag

Xerez v Cadiz

Xerez
20:00Upcoming
Cadiz

Copa del Rey · WED 28 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

XerezDrawCadiz
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 20:00
Before kick-off · Match result · Cadiz 38%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Cadiz just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Xerez 27%, draw 35%, Cadiz 38%. Over 2.5 goals 24%, both teams to score 32%.

The AI’s read on Xerez v CadizBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Xerez win27%
Draw35%
Cadiz win38%

Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 20:00

RoundRound of 128

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Xerez

Cadiz

10Days since last match10

Last match: 18 Oct · Segunda División RFEF - Group 4

Last match: 18 Oct · the Spanish Segunda División

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · cadiz winFirst published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
38% The market–
Us38%

We make Cadiz a 38% chance to win. The model expects 0.7–0.9, and 0–0 is the single most likely score at 19%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Xerez v Cadiz0.75 – 0.94

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Xerez win27%––
Draw35%––
Cadiz win38%––
Over 2.5 goals24%––
Both teams to score32%––
Over 1.5 goals51%––
Over 3.5 goals9%––
Xerez or draw62%––
Xerez clean sheet39%––
Cadiz clean sheet47%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–0 at 18.9%
0123450 18.9 17.0 8.2 2.6 1 13.4 13.4 6.1 2 5.1 4.8 2.3 3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Xerez down, Cadiz across0–5 goals a side shown (99.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Copa del Rey this season

XEREZ

No matches in our record yet.

CADIZ

No matches in our record yet.