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Model 1.2

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Trival Valderas v Leganes

Trival Valderas
19:00Upcoming
Leganes

Copa del Rey · WED 28 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Trival ValderasDrawLeganes
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 19:00
Before kick-off · Match result · Leganes 63%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Leganes are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Trival Valderas 13%, draw 24%, Leganes 63%. Over 2.5 goals 41%, both teams to score 38%.

The AI’s read on Trival Valderas v LeganesBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Trival Valderas win13%
Draw24%
Leganes win63%

Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 19:00

RoundRound of 128

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Trival Valderas

Leganes

10Days since last match4

Last match: 18 Oct · Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

Last match: 24 Oct · the Spanish Segunda División

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · leganes winFirst published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
63% The market–
Us63%

We make Leganes a 63% chance to win. The model expects 0.6–1.7, and 0–1 is the single most likely score at 16%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Trival Valderas v Leganes0.62 – 1.71

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Trival Valderas win13%––
Draw24%––
Leganes win63%––
Over 2.5 goals41%––
Both teams to score38%––
Over 1.5 goals68%––
Over 3.5 goals21%––
Trival Valderas or draw37%––
Trival Valderas clean sheet18%––
Leganes clean sheet54%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–1 at 16.4%
0123450 10.1 16.4 14.2 8.1 3.5 1 5.7 10.7 8.8 5.0 2.1 2 3.2 2.7 3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Trival Valderas down, Leganes across0–5 goals a side shown (99.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Copa del Rey this season

TRIVAL VALDERAS

No matches in our record yet.

LEGANES

No matches in our record yet.