Install the appInstall the appPitchside Lab · free · no ads
Pitchside Lab
Model 1.2

Home › Football › Copa del Rey › Sestao River v Espanyol

Back
Spain flag

Sestao River v Espanyol

Sestao River
18:00Upcoming
Espanyol

Copa del Rey · TUE 27 OCT · Estadio Las Llanas

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Sestao RiverDrawEspanyol
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 18:00
Before kick-off · Match result · Espanyol 56%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Espanyol are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Sestao River 17%, draw 27%, Espanyol 56%. Over 2.5 goals 37%, both teams to score 39%.

The AI’s read on Sestao River v EspanyolBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 21 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Sestao River win17%
Draw27%
Espanyol win56%

Kick-offTUE 27 OCT · 18:00

RoundRound of 128

VenueEstadio Las Llanas

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Sestao River

Espanyol

3Days since last match3

Last match: 24 Oct · Segunda División RFEF - Group 1

Last match: 24 Oct · La Liga

3Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · espanyol winFirst published 21 Oct 00:01 · updated 24 Oct 00:26 · locked at kick-off
56% The market–
Us56%

We make Espanyol a 56% chance to win. The model expects 0.7–1.5, and 0–1 is the single most likely score at 17%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Sestao River v Espanyol0.69 – 1.47

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
50%55%60% 21 OCT 00:0125 OCT 01:06
Our probability · Espanyol win

Published at 57%, 56% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Sestao River win17%––
Draw27%––
Espanyol win56%––
Over 2.5 goals37%––
Both teams to score39%––
Over 1.5 goals64%––
Over 3.5 goals17%––
Sestao River or draw44%––
Sestao River clean sheet23%––
Espanyol clean sheet50%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–1 at 16.6%
0123450 11.9 16.6 12.5 6.1 2.3 1 7.6 12.1 8.6 4.2 2 2.7 4.0 3.0 3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Sestao River down, Espanyol across0–5 goals a side shown (99.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Copa del Rey this season

SESTAO RIVER

No matches in our record yet.

ESPANYOL

No matches in our record yet.