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RSD Alcalá v Las Palmas

RSD Alcalá
19:00Upcoming
Las Palmas

Copa del Rey · TUE 27 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

RSD AlcaláDrawLas Palmas
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 19:00
Before kick-off · Match result · Las Palmas 63%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Las Palmas are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: RSD Alcalá 15%, draw 22%, Las Palmas 63%. Over 2.5 goals 52%, both teams to score 49%.

The AI’s read on RSD Alcalá v Las PalmasBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 21 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

RSD Alcalá win15%
Draw22%
Las Palmas win63%

Kick-offTUE 27 OCT · 19:00

RoundRound of 128

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

RSD Alcalá

Las Palmas

3Days since last match3

Last match: 24 Oct · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

Last match: 24 Oct · the Spanish Segunda División

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · las palmas winFirst published 21 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
63% The market–
Us63%

We make Las Palmas a 63% chance to win. The model expects 0.8–1.9, and 0–2 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · RSD Alcalá v Las Palmas0.83 – 1.94

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
RSD Alcalá win15%––
Draw22%––
Las Palmas win63%––
Over 2.5 goals52%––
Both teams to score49%––
Over 1.5 goals77%––
Over 3.5 goals30%––
RSD Alcalá or draw37%––
RSD Alcalá clean sheet14%––
Las Palmas clean sheet44%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–2 at 11.8%
0123450 6.6 11.8 11.8 7.6 3.7 1 4.8 10.4 9.8 6.3 3.1 2 2.2 4.2 4.1 2.6 3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+RSD Alcalá down, Las Palmas across0–5 goals a side shown (98.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Copa del Rey this season

RSD ALCALÁ

No matches in our record yet.

LAS PALMAS

No matches in our record yet.