Install the appInstall the appPitchside Lab · free · no ads
Pitchside Lab
Model 1.2

Home › Football › Copa del Rey › Reddis v Barakaldo

Back
Spain flag

Reddis v Barakaldo

Reddis
19:30Upcoming
Barakaldo

Copa del Rey · WED 28 OCT · Estadi Municipal de Reus

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

ReddisDrawBarakaldo
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 19:30
Before kick-off · Match result · Barakaldo 42%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Barakaldo are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Reddis 29%, draw 30%, Barakaldo 42%. Over 2.5 goals 38%, both teams to score 45%.

The AI’s read on Reddis v BarakaldoBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Reddis win29%
Draw30%
Barakaldo win42%

Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 19:30

RoundRound of 128

VenueEstadi Municipal de Reus

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Reddis

Barakaldo

4Days since last match4

Last match: 24 Oct · Segunda División RFEF - Group 2

Last match: 24 Oct · Primera División RFEF - Group 1

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · barakaldo winFirst published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
42% The market–
Us42%

We make Barakaldo a 42% chance to win. The model expects 1.0–1.2, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Reddis v Barakaldo0.97 – 1.24

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Reddis win29%––
Draw30%––
Barakaldo win42%––
Over 2.5 goals38%––
Both teams to score45%––
Over 1.5 goals65%––
Over 3.5 goals18%––
Reddis or draw58%––
Reddis clean sheet29%––
Barakaldo clean sheet38%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.6%
0123450 11.3 13.1 8.4 3.5 1 10.2 13.6 8.2 3.4 2 5.2 6.4 4.0 3 2.1 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Reddis down, Barakaldo across0–5 goals a side shown (99.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2023/24

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2023/24.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Copa del Rey this season

REDDIS

No matches in our record yet.

BARAKALDO

No matches in our record yet.